Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
913
FNUS54 KEPZ 011853
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1253 PM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will be low through the forecast period.
Isolated to scattered mountain storms develop today and tomorrow
with possible heavy rain and gusty winds. Overnight recoveries
will be good through Saturday night. Drier air arrives on Sunday,
largely ending storm chances for a few days, even in the
mountains. Dry and hot conditions are forecast for next week with
little to no chance of storms, deep mixing, and light winds.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-021230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1253 PM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* 24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....83-91.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (80900 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....52-57 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....51-56 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....81-89.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....9-14 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....9-13 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL increasing to 13900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (161700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 88 to 93. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 89 to 94. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 91 to 96. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-021230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1253 PM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
* 24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-97.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 6 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (56000 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* Max humidity........50-55 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* Min humidity........10-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 13900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (156000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 97 to 102.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
98 to 103. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 99 to 103. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-021230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1253 PM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (60400 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* Max humidity........54-59 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* Min humidity........13-17 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 14100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (129500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 97 to
102. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 98 to 103. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-021230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1253 PM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....85-90 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....80-88.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....31-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73400 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....61-68 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....83-92.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....16-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......8800 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (178000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 86 to 91. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 88 to 93. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 89 to 94.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-021230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1253 PM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....72-74.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........57-61 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-98.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........21-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 3 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (39900 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....73-75.
* Max humidity........48-52 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-101.
* Min humidity........15-17 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 14400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (110500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 99 to 103.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs 100 to 104.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs
100 to 104. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-021230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1253 PM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-72.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chance of thunder...10 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 5 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (49500 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* Max humidity........56-61 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* Min humidity........17-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 14100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (110100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs
97 to 102. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
Aronson