Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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FNUS54 KEPZ 041814
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1214 PM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Elevated fire danger tomorrow afternoon in the lowlands of Sierra
county as min RHs range from 15-18% coupled with 20 foot winds of
10-15 mph. Low fire danger elsewhere Sunday and through the next
few days as min RH values stay above critical thresholds and winds
will be 5-10 mph each afternoon becoming calm overnight.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.



NMZ110-051215-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
1214 PM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....39-44.
*    Below 7500 ft....45-50.
*    24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph decreasing to
                      around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....65-70.
*    Below 7500 ft....74-79.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....16-21 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....16-20 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 8000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (126900 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....40-45.
*    Below 7500 ft....47-52.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....49-54 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....68-73.
*    Below 7500 ft....76-81.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (150200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 73 to 78. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 55. Highs 72 to 77. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 74 to 79.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-051215-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
1214 PM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....52-56.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph becoming
                      southwest around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-86.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (123100 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....54-58.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                      in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (90900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows near 60. Highs in the 80s. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in the lower
to mid 80s. East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Highs in the lower to mid
80s. East winds around 10 mph.

$$

NMZ112-051215-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
1214 PM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-60.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........53-58 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph decreasing to
                      around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-86.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........19-24 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 9300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (137600 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....56-61.
* Max humidity........53-58 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                      in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (128100 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 80 to 85. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 60. Highs 79 to 84. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Highs 80 to 85. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-051215-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1214 PM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....44-49.
*    Below 7500 ft....49-54.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....56-61 percent.
*    24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....64-69.
*    Below 7500 ft....74-79.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (139100 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....44-49.
*    Below 7500 ft....49-54.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....65-70.
*    Below 7500 ft....73-78.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (104000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 54. Highs 67 to 72. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 49 to 54. Highs 67 to 72. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 53. Highs 71 to 76. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-051215-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
1214 PM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-65.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........54-59 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....84-88.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........25-27 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (86700 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....64-66.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-91.
* Min humidity........22-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (122700 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in
the mid to upper 80s. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs in
the 80s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TXZ056-051215-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
1214 PM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of rain showers.
* Min temperature.....58-62.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-88.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........26-31 percent.
*    24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (82500 knot-ft).

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....59-63.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* Min humidity........25-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105800 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 81 to 86. East
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 78 to 83. East
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 80 to 85. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$