Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
522
FNUS54 KEPZ 182043
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
143 PM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Minimal fire weather concerns through the week as a Pacific storm
system is set to bring widespread precipitation to the region
tonight into Thursday. Snow levels will mainly stay at or above
10,000 for much of the precip period, but may fall down to around
8000-9000 feet Thursday morning as precip becomes more scattered.
Storm total rainfall amounts over 1 inch in the Gila region and
Sacramento Mountains will be common, and temperatures will cool as
well. Another system is set to bring more precipitation this
weekend, and may take a path that is more favorable for high
elevation snow.
Breezy west winds on Thursday afternoon will be mitigated by high
humidity values, with min RH in the 40 to 60 percent range even in
the lowlands.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-191215-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
143 PM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....34-38.
* Below 7500 ft....40-45.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1100,
then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight
chance of thunderstorms until 1100. Chance of
rain showers. Chance of thunderstorms after
1100.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....45-50.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....65-70 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* 24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 23 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800-5100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (89200 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers
and slight chance of snow showers through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....31-35.
* Below 7500 ft....37-42.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....93-98 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......90 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers
and snow showers in the morning. Slight
chance of thunderstorms through the day.
Chance of rain showers and snow showers in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....37-42.
* Below 7500 ft....45-50.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......4300-5000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (68500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 24 to 29. Highs 47 to 52. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows
28 to 33. Highs 51 to 56. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and snow showers.
Lows 34 to 39. Highs 46 to 51. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-191215-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
143 PM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....47-51.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........87-92 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms until 1100. Chance of rain
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1100.
* Max temperature.....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........47-52 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL increasing to 6200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115100 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers
likely through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....44-48.
* Max humidity........83-88 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the morning, then slight chance of rain
showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....53-58.
* Min humidity........45-50 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 29 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......5100-6800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (127500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. Highs 55 to
60. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows 32 to
37. Highs 58 to 63. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows near 40.
Highs 54 to 59. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-191215-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
143 PM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the night.
* Min temperature.....47-51.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........91-96 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1100,
then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
rain showers until 1100, then slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........46-51 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 36 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70300 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the evening. Chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Rain showers
likely after midnight.
* Min temperature.....46-50.
* Max humidity........86-91 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...40 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers
in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Chance of rain
showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....54-59.
* Min humidity........48-53 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 28 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......4700-6200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (120300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 31 to 36. Highs 55 to 60. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 31 to 36. Highs 60 to 65.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 37 to 42. Highs 57 to 62. West winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-191215-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
143 PM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....34-39.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1100,
then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
rain showers until 1100, then slight chance
of rain showers.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....46-51.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* 24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* Mixing height.......3700-5400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (93100 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the night. Slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....34-38.
* Below 7500 ft....40-44.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....94-99 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 22 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers
in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers
and snow showers likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....39-44.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....80-85 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 26 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......90 percent.
* Mixing height.......3800-5400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (102100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 29 to 34. Highs 49 to 54. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 29 to 34. Highs 54 to 59. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers, snow showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 33 to 38. Highs 49 to 54.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-191215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
143 PM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the evening, then rain showers
likely after midnight.
* Min temperature.....52-54.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........84-89 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 1100, then slight chance of
rain showers.
* Max temperature.....66-70.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........44-48 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 31 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* Mixing height.......3000-4100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (26600 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of
rain showers through the night. Chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....50-52.
* Max humidity........83-88 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 25 mph.
* Chance of thunder...30 percent.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Rain showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning, then chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....59-63.
* Min humidity........41-46 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (134100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Highs near 60.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35 to 40. Highs in the mid to
upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Highs near 60.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-191215-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
143 PM MST Tue Nov 18 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the evening. Chance of
rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....48-52.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........85-90 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers.
* Max temperature.....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........41-46 percent.
* 24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 37 mph.
* Chance of thunder...0 percent.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL increasing to 4900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Poor (32500 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the evening. Slight chance
of thunderstorms through the night. Chance of
rain showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....49-53.
* Max humidity........82-87 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 32 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Rain showers
in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Chance of rain
showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....59-64.
* Min humidity........45-50 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds around 15 mph
increasing to west around 25 mph in the
afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 30 mph.
* Chance of thunder...20 percent.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (171500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Highs 58 to 63.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 39. Highs 64 to 69. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Highs 61 to 66.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$