Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
284
FNUS54 KEPZ 231229
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
629 AM MDT Sun Jun 23 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM MDT TUESDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
We will see generally light winds this week, but we will also see
a chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms each day, which
could lead to some gusty and erratic outflow winds. The best
chance for thunderstorms the next couple of days will be in area
mountains, but we will see better rain chances for the middle and
end of this week. Be aware that it won`t take much rain to cause
some flash flooding issue near and downstream of recent burn
scars. Min RH`s will range from 15 to 25% in the lowlands to 30
to 40% in area mountains this week. Ventilation rates will range
from fair to good over the next several days.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-232145-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
629 AM MDT Sun Jun 23 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-61.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....88-93.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (85900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
63 to 68. Highs 86 to 91. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers with thunderstorms
likely. Lows 64 to 69. Highs 87 to 92. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
63 to 68. Highs 83 to 88. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-232145-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
629 AM MDT Sun Jun 23 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....95-99.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Slight
chance of showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........52-57 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 0300, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* Min humidity........18-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 98 to 103.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 98 to 103.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
near 70. Highs 93 to 98. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-232145-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
629 AM MDT Sun Jun 23 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........19-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (88800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-73.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........43-48 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 12800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 71 to 76. Highs 99 to 104. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 70s. Highs 99 to 104. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 93 to 98. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-232145-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
629 AM MDT Sun Jun 23 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7900-9400 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....60-65 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60 percent.
* 24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 67. Highs 89 to 94. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 69. Highs 87 to 92. East winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 67. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-232145-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
629 AM MDT Sun Jun 23 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM MDT TUESDAY...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-101.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........16-18 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (103900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....74-78.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........39-44 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-103.
* Min humidity........16-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 5 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (59000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 101 to
105. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 80. Highs 102 to 106. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs in the mid to
upper 90s. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-232145-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
629 AM MDT Sun Jun 23 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* Min humidity........16-20 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 5 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (69100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 98 to 103.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 97 to 102. East winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$