266
FNUS74 KEPZ 110355
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Bear Fire...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
955 PM MDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0000 MDT on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Very dry with poor RH recoveries tonight. For Thursday min RH`s
will be near 10% and we will have some low end gusty winds of 10
to 20 mph. Little to know chance for rain on Thursday. For Friday
moisture will being to trickle back into the region, but not
before we have another day min RH`s near 10%. RH`s and rain
chances continue to increase for Saturday and Sunday, but then
drier and warmer weather will return for the start of next week.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6700 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........5      5      4
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0
Temp............59     57     54
RH..............15     16     17
20 ft wind......W 8    W 8    NW 7
20 ft wind gust.17     17     15
Mix hgt (ft)....600    600    600
Transport wind..W 14   W 14   NW 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7      7      7
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........9 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (103600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........3      3      1      3      3      15
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............53     58     66     71     75     76
RH..............18     17     16     13     10     9
20 ft wind......NW 9   NW 9   NW 8   NW 5   NW 5   NW 5
20 ft wind gust.18     18     22     17     17     16
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1600   5100   7600   10400  11700
Transport wind..NW 16  NW 18  NW 18  W 15   W 12   NW 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8      25     81     99     104    106
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   GOOD   GOOD   VYGD   VYGD

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 14 mph shifting to the northeast 12
                    to 14 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (99800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........48        38        28        16
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............74        66        62        59
RH..............9         12        16        21
20 FT wind......NW 6G16   NW 7G15   N 6G14    N 7G15
Mix hgt (ft)....11100     600       600       600
Transport wind..NW 10     N 14      N 12      NE 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..100       7         6         7
Ventrate Cat....GOOD      POOR      POOR      POOR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 7 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 7 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West
winds around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BRICE
Requested by...FBAN Arthur Gonzales
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2615343.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/10/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL arthur.gonzales@usda.gov,francesca.chavez@usda.gov