371
FNUS74 KEPZ 141923
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Meadow Fire...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
123 PM MDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 MDT on June 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Few to scattered cumulus have developed this afternoon near the
site, but are not expected to grow into showers or storms. Winds
from the west around 10 mph continue into the evening, becoming
light and shifting easterly overnight with poor RH recovery. Warm
temperatures will continue into next week with very low humidity
and drying fuels. For the site, rain/storm chances will remain
near zero through the weekend with high pressure overhead. Winds
will be modestly breezy again Sunday from the west to around 10
mph during the afternoon with very deep mixing and excellent
ventilation. Breezier west winds and elevated to near-critical
fire danger develop Monday and Tuesday afternoons as westerly flow
aloft deepens.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Patchy smoke.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........9 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......12500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (132500 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........3      2
Weather cov.....PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....SMOKE  SMOKE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0
Temp............88     90
RH..............9      9
20 ft wind......W 8    W 9
20 ft wind gust.16     17
Mix hgt (ft)....12500  12500
Transport wind..W 12   W 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..133    133
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   VYGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Patchy smoke early
                    in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the north
                    around 5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 12 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (101200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........5      5      5      7      7      6
Weather cov.....PATCHY PATCHY NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............86     75     68     63     60     57
RH..............10     14     17     19     20     21
20 ft wind......W 9    W 9    W 6    NW 5   NW 5   N 5
20 ft wind gust.16     16     10     8      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....9200   1200   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 12   W 12   W 9    W 9    N 7    N 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..101    31     2      2      2      2
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........8 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 10 to 13 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 16000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9200 knot-ft) increasing to very good
                    (124300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (153600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........2         1         21        24
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         10        10
Temp............56        73        85        92
RH..............21        12        9         8
20 FT wind......N 4G8     NW 4G8    W 10G21   W 13G23
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1800      15500     16000
Transport wind..N 6       N 6       SW 9      W 11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1         9         124       154
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      VYGD      EXNT

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Northwest winds around 8 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Northwest winds
around 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Northwest
winds around 9 mph.

$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...Silver City Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2515840.5/EPZ
.DELDT 06/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov