Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
232
FNUS74 KEPZ 031929
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Baca Pit RX...USFS, Gila National Forest
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1229 PM MST Wed Dec 3 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on December 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
A storm system will deliver a glancing blow to the Desert
Southwest Thursday. Cooler and drier conditions will be on tap
with north winds shifting northwesterly in the afternoon.
Ventilation will be widespread poor Thursday with nominal
improvement on Friday. Conditions will trend considerably drier
near the burn site on Friday, with minRH dropping back into the 20
percent range amongst light, terrain-influenced winds.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 38.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest
around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........74 74 23 13 13 7
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............21 22 28 35 38 34
RH..............92 92 71 52 42 49
20 ft wind......N 2 N 2 NW 2 NW 3 NW 3 NW 3
20 ft wind gust.7 7 8 12 12 10
Mix hgt (ft)....1200 1200 2900 2900 3100 3100
Transport wind..N 6 N 6 N 5 N 5 NW 7 NW 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 3 17 17 19 19
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 19.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 7 mph shifting to the west
around 7 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1600 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........15 15 16 15 15 21
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............24 22 22 21 20 20
RH..............71 74 71 71 71 67
20 ft wind......NW 2 NW 2 W 1 W 1 W 1 W 1
20 ft wind gust.8 8 5 5 5 5
Mix hgt (ft)....300 300 300 300 300 300
Transport wind..NW 7 NW 7 W 6 W 6 W 7 W 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 2 2 2 2 2
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 18 mph shifting to the northwest
around 19 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (57200 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........26 22 14 8
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0
Temp............20 26 39 36
RH..............67 50 28 35
20 FT wind......W 2G6 W 3G13 NW 6G17 NW 5G17
Mix hgt (ft)....800 800 3100 3000
Transport wind..W 9 W 9 NW 18 NW 19
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10 10 56 57
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 50s. Light winds.
$$
Forecaster...BREITREITER
Requested by...Patrick Valentine
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526968.0/EPZ
.DELDT 12/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL patrick.valentine@usda.gov,francesca.chavez@usda.gov,timothy.hendricks@usda.gov