883
FNUS74 KEPZ 161138
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Blue...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
438 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0916 MST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

An approaching upper level storm system will bring a chance
of rain showers or even a rumble of thunder to the Gila region
this afternoon. In addition to the rain chances we will have
breezy southwest winds. Min RH`s today will be in the 70`s with
excellent RH recoveries at night. We will be dry and a little
cooler on Monday, before another upper level storm system brings a
chance for precipitation for Tuesday night through Thursday.
Winds could again be breezy Thursday afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the afternoon. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 31 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 17 mph increasing to 25 to 29
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (68200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  69  69  76  76  76  76  76  76
Weather cov.....NONENONENONECHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONESCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  30  30  30  20  20  20
Temp............40  41  40  41  41  40  39  38  37
RH..............79  79  82  82  82  85  89  92  96
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..14  14  14  16  16  16  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.31  31  31  28  28  28  29  29  29
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.17  29  29  29  29  25  25  25  25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..32  68  68  68  68  46  46  46  46
Ventrate Cat....PR  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR  FR  FR  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 31 mph in
                    the evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........64     64     56     37     37     15
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     0      0      0      0
Temp............36     35     34     33     32     30
RH..............100    92     89     92     92     96
20 ft wind......SW 15  SW 15  SW 13  W 12   W 12   W 9
20 ft wind gust.31     31     30     25     25     21
Mix hgt (ft)....500    500    BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..SW 20  SW 20  SW 17  SW 17  W 14   W 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10     10     0      0      0      0
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 41.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7500 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........22     22     34     38     38     39
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............29     31     36     39     40     38
RH..............96     88     69     59     59     64
20 ft wind......W 8    W 8    SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 7
20 ft wind gust.16     16     17     17     17     16
Mix hgt (ft)....700    700    2600   2600   2500   2500
Transport wind..W 12   W 12   W 15   W 15   SW 14  SW 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8      8      36     36     35     35
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Lows around 30. Highs in
the upper 30s. Southwest winds around 8 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 30s.
South winds around 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 20s.
Highs in the upper 20s. Southwest winds around 17 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BRICE
Requested by...Hedgeman
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525590.5/EPZ
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov