834
FNUS74 KEPZ 041142
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Baca Pit RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
442 AM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on December 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Today will feature cooler and drier conditions beneath sunny
skies. Minimum RH values will drop to around 40 while winds will
be light. The light winds and stable conditions will lead to poor
venting with smoke transport to the south or southeast. Friday`s
conditions will be similar but with a little stronger winds and
improved smoke transport.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 38.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 4 to 8 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........18     18     6      9      9
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
Temp............23     30     36     37     30
RH..............84     66     50     42     55
20 ft wind......N 2    N 2    NW 3   NW 3   NW 3
20 ft wind gust.7      7      10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....900    2500   2500   2600   2600
Transport wind..NE 5   NW 4   NW 4   NW 8   NW 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2      16     16     18     18
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 16.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........19     19     22     15     15     8
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............27     22     21     19     18     17
RH..............57     68     68     67     74     70
20 ft wind......NW 1   NW 1   W 1    W 1    W 1    W 1
20 ft wind gust.6      6      5      3      3      3
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..NW 7   NW 7   W 7    W 7    W 8    W 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2      2      2      2      2      2
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 9 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 11 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (46200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........35        32        16        5
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............16        24        39        38
RH..............67        54        27        32
20 FT wind......W 2G5     W 5G13    NW 9G20   NW 9G20
Mix hgt (ft)....600       600       2700      2600
Transport wind..W 11      W 11      NW 17     NW 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8         8         45        46
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      FAIR      FAIR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds
around 6 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 50s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...Patrick Valentine
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526968.1/EPZ
.DELDT 12/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.hendricks@usda.gov,patrick.valentine@usda.gov,francesca.chavez@usda.gov