Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
263
FNUS74 KEPZ 141345
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for 16 Springs RX...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
645 AM MST Fri Nov 14 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
We will continue to see quiet fire weather conditions today and
Saturday. Min RH`s today and Saturday will be in the mid 20`s with
decent RH recoveries at night. For Sunday it will be cooler and
breezy with southwest winds. Min RH`s will come up to be in the
mid 40`s. Quieter weather returns for Monday, then we will have
chance for precipitation for the middle of next week.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (96200 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18 18 13 13 13 11 11 11
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............70 70 70 70 70 68 67 63
RH..............26 27 27 27 26 29 29 34
20 FT wind dir..W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 8 8 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.16 16 17 17 17 16 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.17 17 17 17 14 14 14 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..96 96 96 96 90 90 90 90
Ventrate Cat....GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 11 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5200 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........9 9 7 6 6 5
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............56 49 47 48 46 47
RH..............43 52 53 49 53 49
20 ft wind......SW 5 SW 5 W 6 W 7 W 7 W 8
20 ft wind gust.10 10 13 14 14 14
Mix hgt (ft)....500 500 500 500 500 500
Transport wind..W 11 W 11 W 15 W 15 W 16 W 16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 5 7 7 7 7
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to very good (101200 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........7 7 6 9 9 20
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............48 53 63 71 71 66
RH..............49 46 35 27 26 30
20 ft wind......W 6 W 6 W 6 W 8 W 8 W 6
20 ft wind gust.14 14 14 18 18 17
Mix hgt (ft)....1700 1700 5900 5900 5600 5600
Transport wind..W 13 W 13 SW 18 SW 18 W 14 W 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..26 26 101 101 95 95
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR VYGD VYGD GOOD GOOD
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West
winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. West
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Southwest winds around 9 mph.
$$
Forecaster...BRICE
Requested by...Matthew Barone
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525324.11/EPZ
.DELDT 11/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.barone@usda.gov