279
FNUS74 KEPZ 251107
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Sunset...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
507 AM MDT Tue Aug 25 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Highs will be warm yet again today, but moisture will improve. The
increased moisture will lead to a chance (30% percent) for
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. The main impact with any
storms will be gusty winds. Otherwise, mostly clear skies will
become partly to mostly cloudy this afternoon and evening with
cumulus build- ups. Winds will start off west and then gradually
shift from the northwest to north this morning into the afternoon.
Venting will be good but smoke transport will vary direction
throughout the day.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming mostly
                    cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest to north winds 6 to 8 mph shifting
to the southwest around 5 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon. Transport winds.....North 7 to 12 mph shifting to the
northeast 8 to 9 mph early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
west around 7 mph late in the afternoon shifting to the southeast
around 6 mph late in the afternoon shifting to the west around 14
mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (91900 knot-ft) .

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........23     23     9      27     27     69
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10     10     30
Temp............68     72     77     81     83     83
RH..............35     30     25     21     21     22
20 ft wind......W 8    NW 8   N 6    N 7    N 7    SW 5
20 ft wind gust.15     15     12     14     14     13
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1600   7200   11500  12000  6800
Transport wind..NW 12  N 12   N 7    N 9    NE 8   SE 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5      11     43     92     84     36
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD   GOOD   POOR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north 6 to 7 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 10 mph late in the evening, then
                    shifting to the west 7 to 8 mph late in the
                    evening shifting to the north 9 to 13 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3600 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........47     47     41     45     45     40
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).40     20     10     10     10     0
Temp............80     74     70     68     67     65
RH..............24     30     31     35     40     45
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 5   NW 5   N 6    N 6    N 7
20 ft wind gust.10     10     9      12     12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....2200   500    500    600    600    500
Transport wind..SW 12  W 9    W 8    NE 10  N 10   N 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22     5      4      6      5      5
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 7 mph shifting to the east
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (67500 knot-ft) .

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........31        3         29        49
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         10        30
Temp............64        71        78        80
RH..............48        41        30        27
20 FT wind......N 7G13    N 7G12    NE 7G15   SE 7G15
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1600      7500      7500
Transport wind..NW 9      N 8       N 9       N 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5         11        67        68
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      GOOD      GOOD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around 6 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around 6 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Southwest winds around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...Sean Donaldson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620239.3/EPZ
.DELDT 08/25/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sean.donaldson@usda.gov