047
FNUS74 KEPZ 282207
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Sapillo Piles - D5 Piles Rx...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
407 PM MDT Mon Sep 28 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 MDT on September 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Low fire weather concerns the next few days as tropical moisture moves
creating frequent showers and possible thunderstorms. This rain will
last through Tuesday night before tapering off to isolated showers
Wednesday. Flash flooding is a threat through Tuesday night. Temperatures
below normal. Drier weather Thursday and Friday. Temperatures will
remain on the cool side.

.REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (52000 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      4 PM
Sky (%).........87
Weather cov.....DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).80
Temp............69
RH..............68
20 FT wind......S 9G20
Mix hgt (ft)....3500
Transport wind..S 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..52
Ventrate Cat....FAIR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms with rain showers through the night.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12600 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky (%).........87           84           90
Weather cov.....DEFNTE       DEFNTE       DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE       S CHC        S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).90           90           90
Temp............64           59           57
RH..............84           96           100
20 FT wind......S 7G14       S 7G14       S 7G14
Mix hgt (ft)....1600         1500         1600
Transport wind..S 12         S 12         SW 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..16           14           16
Ventrate Cat....POOR         POOR         POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers
                    through the day.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11400 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........97        97        81        86
Weather cov.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC     CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).100       100       100       90
Temp............56        56        60        61
RH..............100       100       100       90
20 FT wind......SE 7G14   SE 7G16   SE 8G16   S 8G16
Mix hgt (ft)....1100      1300      2200      2200
Transport wind..S 12      S 15      S 15      S 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11        17        28        22
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around 12 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70. North winds
around 7 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Northeast winds around 8 mph.

$$
Forecaster...HEFNER
Requested by...L Carver
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622707.0/EPZ
.DELDT 09/28/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL liz.carver@usda.gov