695
FNUS74 KEPZ 131933
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Meadow Fire...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
133 PM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 MDT on June 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Westerly winds around 10 mph continue into the evening with
excellent ventilation and smoke dispersion to the east-northeast.
An isolated shower to the east of the site this afternoon could
kick off a gusty outflow towards the site, but that threat is low.
Drainage flow develops overnight with light easterly winds and
poor overnight RH recovery. Chance of showers and storms remains
near zero for the weekend as deeper mixing and higher temperatures
develop. Surface winds will be generally light each afternoon with
modest breeziness from the west-southwest and very good to
excellent ventilation. Overnight RH recoveries will be poor through
the weekend with light drainage flow from the east.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of smoke.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......11200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (165800 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........3      2
Weather cov.....AREAS  AREAS
Weather type....SMOKE  SMOKE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0
Temp............83     84
RH..............16     15
20 ft wind......W 10   W 12
20 ft wind gust.16     20
Mix hgt (ft)....11200  11200
Transport wind..W 17   W 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..166    166
Ventrate Cat....EXNT   EXNT

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Areas of smoke in
                    the evening and overnight.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (136300 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (2000 knot-ft) in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........6      6      8      5      5      6
Weather cov.....AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  NONE
Weather type....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............81     74     69     66     64     62
RH..............16     20     25     27     28     30
20 ft wind......W 11   W 11   W 7    NW 5   NW 5   NW 5
20 ft wind gust.20     20     14     9      9      8
Mix hgt (ft)....9100   1100   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 15   W 15   W 9    W 9    NW 7   NW 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..136    36     3      3      2      2
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 7 to 9 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......11600 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph shifting to the west in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13500 knot-ft) increasing to very good
                    (121900 knot-ft) in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........2         1         3         7
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............61        74        83        88
RH..............30        19        13        11
20 FT wind......NW 4G8    NW 3G8    W 7G14    W 9G16
Mix hgt (ft)....700       1700      10600     13200
Transport wind..NW 7      NW 7      W 12      W 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4         14        122       138
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      VYGD      VYGD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Northwest winds around 6 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Northwest winds around 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...Silver City Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2515840.3/EPZ
.DELDT 06/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov