641
FNUS74 KEPZ 301149
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for RX Arrastra...Gila National Forest
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
549 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on September 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances will be much lower for today as the deep tropical
moisture has shifted east. However, another disturbance moves in
from Arizona, bringing low rain chances to the site this morning
and afternoon. Rainfall rates won`t be nearly as high as they were
yesterday, but an isolated thunderstorm or two is possible. Gusty
and erratic outflows are possible. Otherwise, winds will be breezy
from the west at 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph through the
day. Ventilation will be good this afternoon. Winds shift more
northerly tonight, staying on the breezy side. Light winds are
expected for Thursday with warmer temperatures and fair to good
ventilation. Rain chances drop to zero for the rest of the week
with min RHs around 50%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Chance of rain showers early in
                    the morning. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12 to 16 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (72500 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........84     73     73     73     68
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30     30     20     20     20
Temp............47     49     53     54     55
RH..............93     96     86     86     80
20 ft wind......W 12   W 12   W 15   W 15   W 16
20 ft wind gust.21     23     28     28     28
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   2800   3200   4000   3400
Transport wind..W 18   W 18   W 18   W 21   W 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..30     42     55     73     57
Ventrate Cat....POOR   FAIR   FAIR   GOOD   FAIR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    north after 3 am.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 18 mph shifting to the north 12 to
                    13 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (40900 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........60     60     51     35     35     26
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     0      0      0
Temp............55     51     48     48     47     46
RH..............77     86     93     89     93     89
20 ft wind......W 13   W 13   NW 10  NW 8   NW 8   N 8
20 ft wind gust.24     24     20     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   1000   800    900    600    600
Transport wind..W 18   W 15   W 13   NW 14  N 13   N 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..41     12     10     10     7      7
Ventrate Cat....FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (61300 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........29        14        23        51
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............46        50        62        65
RH..............86        93        60        58
20 FT wind......N 8G15    N 7G12    N 6G9     NE 6G9
Mix hgt (ft)....700       1100      6200      6600
Transport wind..N 13      N 13      N 14      NE 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8         12        61        47
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      GOOD      FAIR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. East
winds around 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. East
winds around 8 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. East
winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Center
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622435.7/EPZ
.DELDT 09/30/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov,gromero@blm.gov,jselby@blm.gov,mmunoz@blm.gov