124
FNUS74 KEPZ 172015
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Hummingbird...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
215 PM MDT Sun May 17 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on May 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Sunday and Monday`s weather conditions will be very similar, with
clear skies, dry air, and breezy southwest winds. Slight uptick
in RH for Monday afternoon, only falling to 20% over the Gila
high elevations. Otherwise, consistent winds 15 to 25 mph again
out of the southwest. Better RH recoveries Monday night into
Tuesday as winds die down.

Continued dry, southwest flow through the rest of the week,
though wind speeds will be lower. No further Red Flags are
expected after Monday. Fire weather conditions around Hummingbird
will sit in the Elevated to Near Critical range day-by-day. No
rain through at least next weekend.


.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 18 to 25 mph with gusts to
                    around 38 mph.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 21 to 28 mph increasing to 31 to 33
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (171200 knot-ft) in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      5      1      1      1      1
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............37     40     49     54     57     59
RH..............35     34     25     21     20     20
20 ft wind......SW 17  SW 17  SW 18  SW 17  SW 17  W 18
20 ft wind gust.38     38     37     36     36     38
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1900   3100   4300   5700   5900
Transport wind..SW 21  SW 28  SW 31  SW 32  W 33   W 33
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10     47     85     121    170    168
Ventrate Cat....POOR   FAIR   GOOD   VYGD   EXNT   EXNT

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35
                    mph shifting to the southwest around 5 mph
                    after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 30 to 31 mph decreasing to 9 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (147300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4900 knot-ft) overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........4      4      8      6      6      10
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............57     53     47     42     40     37
RH..............24     31     41     49     56     65
20 ft wind......W 16   W 16   W 9    W 8    W 8    SW 5
20 ft wind gust.37     37     24     17     17     15
Mix hgt (ft)....5500   2600   700    700    600    500
Transport wind..W 31   W 21   W 16   W 13   W 12   W 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..147    48     10     8      6      5
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 8 to 12 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph increasing to 20 to 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (195100 knot-ft) in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........3         3         7         16
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............35        48        59        63
RH..............71        40        23        18
20 FT wind......SW 3G8    SW 7G15   SW 10G21  SW 10G21
Mix hgt (ft)....600       3400      6200      8100
Transport wind..SW 9      SW 14     SW 18     SW 23
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5         45        106       162
Ventrate Cat....POOR      FAIR      VYGD      EXNT

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds around 8 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...DENNHARDT
Requested by...NMSCD
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613795.2/EPZ
.DELDT 05/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov