Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
153
FNUS74 KEPZ 231215
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Monastery Piles RX...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
515 AM MST Sun Nov 23 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0715 MST on November 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Low fire danger today after morning rain showers. Conditions
becoming dry by mid-afternoon with west winds 5 to 10 mph.
Fair ventilation with transport to the east this afternoon. Dry
weather and typical November temperatures this week. Light winds
and Poor ventilation the rest of the week.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers early in the morning, then slight
chance of rain showers late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 19 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (34200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (59200 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75 75 79 79 79 76 76 76 56 56 56
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0
Temp............37 39 41 43 45 46 47 47 46 44 41
RH..............100 100 96 89 82 79 76 74 76 79 92
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..5 5 8 8 8 9 9 9 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.13 13 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 17 17
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.2 2.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.13 13 13 19 19 19 19 17 17 17 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..34 34 34 59 59 59 59 50 50 50 50
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6900 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54 54 54 45 45 45 28 28 28 25 25 25
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............39 37 36 35 34 33 33 32 32 31 31 30
RH..............96 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 9 9 9 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22 22 22 22 11 11 11 11 7 7 7 7
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph in the morning and
early afternoon becoming light.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10900 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16 16 16 7 7 7 2 2 2 3 3 3
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............30 32 36 41 46 49 52 53 54 53 50 45
RH..............100 100 92 79 68 61 54 54 52 54 61 73
20 FT wind dir..N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.12 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11 11 11 11 23 23 23 23 22 22 22 22
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 50s. Light winds.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 60. Light
winds.
$$
Forecaster...DENNHARDT
Requested by...Silver City Dispatch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526383.4/EPZ
.DELDT 11/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov