560
FNUS74 KEPZ 051811
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Salado AA RX...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1111 AM MST Thu Nov 5 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on November 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
An upper low will be moving from NW AZ into NW Chihuahua Fri into
Sat. This low will tap some moisture from the southeast and bring
a chance for some showers to the burn area mainly Fri night into
Sat. Any rainfall amounts are expected to be under a quarter inch.
Winds will remain on the light side with RH`s above 35%. Drier
air moves back in by Sunday with warming temperatures.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent), becoming mostly
                    cloudy (75-85 percent) in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17400 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  54  64  64  64  73  77  83
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20
Temp............51  53  55  57  58  58  57  52
RH..............48  41  40  39  39  40  42  59
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 2.7 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.3 2.1 2.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   8   10  12  12  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22  22  30  30  30  30  17  17
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening, then chance
                    of rain showers in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4600 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  67  67  78  78  78  78  78  78  77  77  77
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
Temp............49  47  46  45  44  42  42  41  40  40  39  38
RH..............68  74  76  79  82  89  86  89  89  89  90  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  7   7   7   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  8   9   9   8   9   10  12  12  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   7   5   5   5   5   5   5   7   7   11  11
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9900 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  90  90  85  82  79  75  70  68  63  60  55
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............38  39  42  46  48  51  53  54  54  53  51  46
RH..............90  90  89  76  68  61  57  52  52  54  61  73
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   5   5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   14  14  14  15  15  15  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 1.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  12  12  12  12  10  10  10  9   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  10  15  15  27  27  29  29  25  25  12  12
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...GRZYWACZ
Requested by...Dominic Bell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2625308.0/EPZ
.DELDT 11/05/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dlbell@blm.gov