924
FNUS74 KEPZ 252011
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Poppa- D5 Piles Rx...USDA FS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
211 PM MDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 MDT on October 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

The rest of this afternoon will feature steady southerly winds at
around 10 to 15 MPH, diminishing after dark. A shower cannot be
ruled out, but chances are near 0%. For tomorrow, winds will
remain from the south though are expected to be slightly lighter,
topping out closer to 10 MPH. These speeds combined with modestly
cooler temperatures (1-2 degrees) will lead to weaker vent
rates, expected to peak on the high end of Fair or low end of
Good (55-60 knot- ft), peaking mid-afternoon. Tuesday will see
even lighter winds, leading to further reduction in vent rates,
but vent rates will improve on Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 11 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (108200 knot-ft) .

TIME (MDT)      2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........38     31
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0
Temp............60     59
RH..............50     51
20 ft wind......S 13   SW 11
20 ft wind gust.24     24
Mix hgt (ft)....5700   5400
Transport wind..S 22   S 21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..108    98
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   GOOD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 6 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 14 mph shifting to the southeast
                    6 to 8 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........26     26     13     21     21     34
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............57     50     44     43     41     40
RH..............55     68     82     79     79     82
20 ft wind......SW 6   SW 6   NW 3   NE 3   NE 3   NE 2
20 ft wind gust.16     16     8      7      7      6
Mix hgt (ft)....2500   500    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..SW 14  S 8    SE 6   E 7    SE 8   SE 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..30     4      3      3      4      4
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 8 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the south 8 to
                    12 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (54500 knot-ft) .

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........49     49     68     48     48     18
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............39     41     52     59     61     62
RH..............85     79     59     42     41     41
20 ft wind......E 2    E 2    E 4    S 8    S 8    S 8
20 ft wind gust.6      6      10     15     15     16
Mix hgt (ft)....500    600    3300   5000   5400   4900
Transport wind..E 8    E 7    S 8    S 12   S 12   SW 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4      4      30     51     55     44
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   FAIR   FAIR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...L Carver
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624519.0/EPZ
.DELDT 10/25/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL liz.carver@usda.gov