Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
259
FNUS74 KEPZ 141907
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Feeley Piles...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
107 PM MDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on October 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Drier conditions are expected for Wednesday with a near-zero chance
of rain and slightly lower humidity. Light and variable winds
expected in the morning, giving way to southerly winds around 10
mph and very good ventilation for the afternoon. Overnight recovery
will be near 100 percent Wednesday night. The drying trend continues
for the rest of the week with temperatures cooling to a few degrees
below normal. Winds shift west-southwest for Thursday and stay
generally light each afternoon into late week with still no chance
of rain.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 9 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 9 mph increasing to 20 to 21 mph
in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to very good (113600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58 58 58 27 27 27 16 16 16 15 15 15
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............54 52 54 57 63 67 70 72 73 73 74 73
RH..............93 100 100 96 81 70 57 55 49 48 43 44
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 6 6 6 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 17 17 17 21 21 21 21 21 21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 3.6 4.6 4.6 5.6 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.0
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.9 9 9 12 15 20 20 20 21 21 21 21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12 12 12 22 56 86 96 106 114 114 114 94
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD GD
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after 3
am.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 6 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (50400 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (4800 knot-ft) late in the
night.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONEPTY PTY PTY
Weather type.... FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............71 69 64 60 58 56 55 53 51 49 47 45
RH..............44 47 54 60 62 66 69 74 80 86 89 96
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW S S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.18 18 18 12 12 12 9 9 9 7 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.12 12 12 12 8 8 8 8 6 6 6 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..50 20 10 10 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5
Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Patchy fog early in the
morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (67800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9 9 9 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............45 45 46 49 54 59 64 66 68 68 67 66
RH..............93 93 89 80 61 47 37 33 29 28 29 32
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 9 9 9 15 15 15 16 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 12 12 12 12 14 14 14 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..16 16 16 16 63 63 63 63 68 68 68 68
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...Kenyon Bogle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523581.0/EPZ
.DELDT 10/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc_expanded@firenet.gov