Spot Forecast
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059
FNUS74 KEPZ 161732
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Feeley Piles...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1132 AM MDT Thu Oct 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Drier conditions will continue to move in to southwest New Mexico
today. Min RH values in this area will range between 20-30
percent this afternoon with high temperatures in the upper 60s
with southwest winds of 5-7 MPH. Conditions tomorrow will be a bit
warmer and drier with RH values around 20% and highs around 70.
Winds will again be around 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 4 to 11 mph increasing to around 16 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (79700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........7      7      1      11     11     7
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............42     42     54     63     66     66
RH..............73     76     54     36     32     29
20 ft wind......E 2    E 2    SE 3   SW 5   SW 5   SW 7
20 ft wind gust.7      7      12     15     15     17
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   1100   5100   5100   5700   5700
Transport wind..NW 4   NW 4   W 11   W 11   W 16   W 16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5      5      62     62     80     80
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   GOOD   GOOD   GOOD   GOOD

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 11 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 5 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (51000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........8      8      9      8      8      8
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............63     56     51     48     45     42
RH..............34     43     52     56     60     67
20 ft wind......W 6    W 6    NW 3   N 2    N 2    NE 3
20 ft wind gust.16     16     12     8      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....4300   4300   800    800    700    700
Transport wind..W 11   W 11   NW 7   NW 7   NE 5   NE 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..51     51     5      5      3      3
Ventrate Cat....FAIR   FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6100 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........7         5         9         9
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............39        45        65        71
RH..............73        60        26        20
20 FT wind......NE 5G12   N 5G10    W 5G14    SW 5G14
Mix hgt (ft)....1000      1000      5100      5500
Transport wind..NE 6      NE 6      N 7       N 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6         6         31        39
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...GUEST
Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523581.3/EPZ
.DELDT 10/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov