Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
585
FNUS74 KEPZ 300048
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for River...Gila National Forest
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
648 PM MDT Sat Aug 29 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0000 MDT on August 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
For tonight, isolated showers develop in the area with gusty
outflow winds possible, most likely from the northwest. Models are
hinting at gusts around 30 mph some time near midnight. A brief
downpour cannot be ruled out overnight. Prevailing winds should be
light from the west tonight. Thunderstorm chances increase for
Sunday afternoon with isolated instances of heavy rainfall and
frequent lightning. Gusts to 40 mph are possible tomorrow
afternoon from outflows, otherwise light west winds are forecast.
Storm motion will be to the north tonight and tomorrow.
Temperatures remain warm with good ventilation Sunday afternoon.
Smoke transport will be generally to the east-southeast.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph
possible from outflows.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4700 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67 67 67 42 42 42
Weather cov.....SLGTSLGTSLGTNONENONENONE
Weather type....RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 10 10 10
Temp............84 82 79 77 76 74
RH..............34 38 44 47 50 53
20 FT wind dir..W W W NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.16 16 16 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW NW W W NW NW
Transp wind spd.10 10 12 12 9 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 6 5 5 5 5
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the
afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the afternoon. Patchy blowing dust late
in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 7 to 9 mph with gusts
to around 24 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 12 mph shifting to the east around 13
mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (98300 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48 48 48 38 38 38 30 30 30 41 41 41
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 30 30 30
Temp............72 71 75 80 85 89 91 94 95 97 97 95
RH..............57 61 54 47 39 34 30 27 25 22 22 24
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 3 3 3 7 7 7 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 15 15 15 21 21 21 24 24 24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.4 1.4 4.3 4.3 8.1 8.1 10 10 9.8 9.8
Transp wind dir.W NW NW NW NW NW W W SW W W E
Transp wind spd.6 5 5 7 8 7 8 9 9 10 12 13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 3 9 9 26 26 65 65 92 92 98 98
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy blowing
dust early in the evening. Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers
through the night.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (79000 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........66 66 66 76 76 76 83 83 83 90 90 90
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 40 30 30 30 40 40 40 20 20 20
Temp............92 89 86 83 81 79 78 77 75 74 73 72
RH..............27 31 35 40 46 49 50 52 58 59 64 66
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..11 11 11 9 9 9 7 7 7 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.25 25 25 24 24 24 18 18 18 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...6.6 6.6 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.7 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.14 13 13 14 13 9 9 9 10 10 9 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..79 79 17 17 8 8 12 12 8 8 9 9
Ventrate Cat....GD GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph with
gusts to around 26 mph in the late morning and
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (78900 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90 90 90 64 64 64 54 54 54 48 48 48
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............70 68 71 76 80 83 86 89 91 92 91 89
RH..............71 76 71 62 52 46 39 34 31 29 30 32
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 5 5 7 7 7 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 14 14 14 20 20 20 26 26 26
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 2.1 2.1 4.2 4.2 6.2 6.2 7.2 7.2 7.0 7.0
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 13 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 6 17 17 40 40 62 62 72 72 79 79
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Northwest winds around 6 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Northwest winds around 6 mph.
$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...IC K. Sanders
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620908.0/EPZ
.DELDT 08/29/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov,kcsanders@blm.gov