Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
113
FNUS74 KEPZ 300737
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Skinner RX...Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
137 AM MDT Fri Oct 30 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on October 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Low fire weather concerns will continue through the next several
days as an unsettled weather pattern brings additional rain
chances to the region. The best chances will come this afternoon
and again during the overnight period into Saturday morning with
another round of showers and thunderstorms on Sunday. Winds will
be on the increase Saturday in the afternoon with some gusts over
20 mph possible. Otherwise, light winds will keep vent rates poor
today through the rest of the weekend.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance
of rain showers in the afternoon. Slight chance
of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest
6 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3700 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84 84 69 69 69 71 71 71 87 87 87
Weather cov.....ISO ISO NONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30
Temp............46 48 51 53 55 57 58 59 59 59 58
RH..............96 89 86 80 74 67 64 62 62 62 67
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E NE NE NE N N N
20 FT wind spd..1 1 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT wind gust.5 5 7 7 7 10 10 10 12 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.1 1.1 2.4 2.4 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 2.8 2.8
Transp wind dir.NE NE E E E NE NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.8 7 7 8 8 7 7 7 8 7 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 7 7 14 14 22 22 24 24 19 19
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
overnight. Rain showers likely after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast 5 to 7 mph in the evening and
overnight, then shifting to the southwest
around 7 mph overnight shifting to the west
around 8 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2500 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........77 77 77 86 86 86 80 80 80 80 80 80
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH NONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 30 30 30 60 60 60
Temp............55 52 51 50 49 49 48 47 47 47 46 46
RH..............77 86 89 93 93 93 96 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.NE SE SE SE SE S S S S SW W W
Transp wind spd.5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 16 mph shifting to the west 14
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (83600 knot-ft) .
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........73 73 73 27 27 27 45 45 45 17 17 17
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0
Temp............45 45 48 51 54 56 58 60 61 61 61 59
RH..............100 100 89 89 83 74 67 62 58 56 56 60
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 5 5 10 10 10 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 13 13 13 20 20 20 20 20 20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 1.2 1.2 3.4 3.4 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.0 4.0
Transp wind dir.W SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.7 8 8 9 13 16 18 20 17 20 17 14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 3 10 10 52 52 81 81 84 84 55 55
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD FR FR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around 9 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds around 23 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Northwest winds around 9 mph.
$$
Forecaster...NIEVES
Requested by...Roy Hough
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624557.4/EPZ
.DELDT 10/30/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL roy.hough@usda.gov