179
FNUS74 KEPZ 301153
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Skinner RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
553 AM MDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on October 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
We`ll be between systems in an otherwise unsettled pattern today.
This will lead to light and variable winds and limited mixing, with
poor ventilation rates. The next system will sweep through the
area tonight into Saturday morning, with widespread wetting rain
showers and embedded thunderstorms. Steadier westerly winds behind
that system will improve ventilation on Saturday. RH values will
remain elevated, with temperatures near seasonal normals.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the south 5 to
                    6 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  83  69  69  69  71  71  71  87  87  87
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............46  48  51  53  55  57  58  59  59  59  58
RH..............96  89  86  80  74  67  64  62  62  62  67
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..1   1   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.5   5   7   7   7   10  10  10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.2 1.2 2.1 2.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.4 2.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  E   E   E   SE  S   S   SW  S
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   9   9   14  14  16  16  15  15  10  10
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight. Rain showers likely after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    7 to 8 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........77  77  77  86  86  86  80  80  80  80  80  80
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH NONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   30  30  30  60  60  60
Temp............55  52  51  50  49  49  48  47  47  47  46  46
RH..............77  86  89  93  93  93  96  100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW  S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   7   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   4   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   6   6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 17 mph increasing to 14 to 18 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (72500 knot-ft) .

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........73  73  73  27  27  27  45  45  45  17  17  17
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0
Temp............45  45  48  51  54  56  58  60  61  61  61  59
RH..............100 100 89  89  83  74  67  62  58  56  56  60
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   5   10  10  10  9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   13  13  13  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.3 1.3 2.9 2.9 4.0 4.0 4.3 4.3 3.5 3.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   12  14  16  17  18  18  18  17  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   4   13  13  43  43  67  67  73  73  51  51
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR  FR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around 9 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds around 23 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Northwest winds around 9 mph.

$$
Forecaster...HARDIMAN
Requested by...Roy Hough
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624557.4/EPZ
.DELDT 10/30/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL roy.hough@usda.gov