Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
806
FNUS74 KEPZ 281139
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Little Eagle RX...Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
539 AM MDT Wed Oct 28 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on October 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather today with mostly sunny skies. Southwest wind 5 to 10
mph this afternoon, leading to Good vent rates. Showers and
thunderstorms developing Thursday afternoon over Lincoln NF, which
may cause sudden wind gusts and heavy rain through Friday. Mostly
likely rain amounts through Sunday 0.50-0.75". Rain chances will
continue through Sunday, followed by a stretch of dry weather
again next week.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (81100 knot-ft) .
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7 7 3 3 3 9 9 9 12 12 12
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............45 47 52 57 61 64 64 65 64 63 61
RH..............76 74 74 62 50 43 43 40 41 43 46
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.16 16 17 17 17 20 20 20 20 20 20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.1 1.1 3.7 3.7 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.2 5.3 5.3
Transp wind dir.SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.15 14 14 16 15 15 14 15 15 15 13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 14 14 49 49 73 73 81 81 69 69
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24 24 24 25 25 25 38 38 38 26 26 26
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............56 51 49 48 48 47 46 46 46 45 45 45
RH..............57 68 74 74 71 71 73 73 73 79 79 79
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW SW S S S S S S S S SW SW
Transp wind spd.8 7 6 7 8 9 10 9 10 10 9 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10 10 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms late in
the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast
8 to 13 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (44400 knot-ft) .
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52 52 52 49 49 49 85 85 85 87 87 87
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 60 60 60
Temp............45 45 46 52 56 60 62 62 61 60 58 56
RH..............79 79 79 71 59 49 46 48 51 55 62 69
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 7 7 7 12 12 12 12 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.9 0.9 4.5 4.5 5.6 5.6 3.8 3.8 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW S S SE SE SE SE E E
Transp wind spd.9 8 7 6 7 8 9 8 9 10 13 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 4 4 4 32 32 44 44 30 30 19 19
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR PR PR PR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the lower 60s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
Forecaster...DENNHARDT
Requested by...Roy Hough
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624558.2/EPZ
.DELDT 10/28/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL roy.hough@usda.gov