Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
751
FNUS74 KEPZ 102233
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for 16 Springs RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
333 PM MST Mon Nov 10 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 MST on November 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
A gradual warming trend with continued dry conditions will occur
through Thursday. Afternoon high temperatures will reach the 60s
with RH values dropping into the 20s. No wind concerns through
Thursday, but will start to increase Friday ahead of a strong
storm system that will bring lowland rain and a mix of rain/snow
in the mountains for the weekend. Light winds will help to keep
vent rates poor to fair.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10000 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5 5
Weather cov.....NONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0
Temp............58 52
RH..............26 33
20 FT wind dir..S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3
20 FT wind gust.10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.4
Transp wind dir.E E
Transp wind spd.5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10 10
Ventrate Cat....PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 19 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5000 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5 5 5 3 3 3 6 6 6 6 6 6
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............49 46 44 43 42 40 39 39 38 37 36 35
RH..............36 37 38 38 39 41 42 44 46 46 47 52
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 12
20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 18 18 18 21 21 21 23 23 23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 19 19 19 19
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 11 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (57700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6 6 6 11 11 11 15 15 15 26 26 26
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............35 37 43 50 55 60 63 65 66 65 62 55
RH..............52 48 43 33 27 23 21 19 19 18 20 25
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 11 11 11
20 FT wind gust.24 24 24 24 24 24 23 23 23 22 22 22
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.20 20 20 20 22 22 22 22 21 21 21 21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22 22 22 22 58 58 58 58 55 55 55 55
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s.
West winds around 7 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds
around 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds around 11 mph.
$$
Forecaster...LUNDEEN
Requested by...Matthew Barone
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525324.5/EPZ
.DELDT 11/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.barone@usda.gov