Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
335
FNUS74 KEPZ 020139
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Cameron Creek RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
739 PM MDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MDT on June 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
For Monday, the quiet weather conditions are expected with min
RH around 7%. The 20ft winds will be light to low end breezy and
from the west with the temperature near the normal. Monday night
recovery will be fair. For Tuesday, quiet weather will continue.
However, moisture will increase slightly with the min RH around
9%, which will still be dry. Both the 20ft winds and temperature
will be similar to that of Monday. The ventilation rates will be
excellent on both days. Moisture will increase toward the end of
the week and into next weekend, which will aide in a chance for
showers and thunderstorms by then. With that being said, fire
weather conditions will be near critical through much of the week,
but will become elevated toward the end of the week.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........7 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (109500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (153700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........1 1 2
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1
Temp............79 84 85
RH..............10 8 7
20 ft wind......W 9 W 9 W 12
20 ft wind gust.20 20 21
Mix hgt (ft)....9200 10000 10000
Transport wind..W 13 W 17 W 17
Haines index....5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..110 154 154
Ventrate Cat....VYGD EXNT EXNT
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (141400 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
(8200 knot-ft) in the late evening and
overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........2 2 3 6 6 10
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............82 72 67 63 60 58
RH..............8 11 14 17 20 22
20 ft wind......W 11 W 11 NW 10 NW 8 NW 8 NW 7
20 ft wind gust.21 21 17 15 15 13
Mix hgt (ft)....8300 8300 700 700 700 700
Transport wind..W 17 W 17 NW 15 NW 15 NW 13 NW 13
Haines index....5 5 5 4 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..141 141 9 9 8 8
Ventrate Cat....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........9 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the west
around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (46600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to very good (141800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........15 22 29 34
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............57 70 80 85
RH..............23 15 12 9
20 FT wind......NW 6G12 NW 7G13 W 9G20 W 12G21
Mix hgt (ft)....3300 3300 8600 9500
Transport wind..NW 14 NW 14 W 13 W 17
Haines index....4 4 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..47 47 95 142
Ventrate Cat....FAIR FAIR GOOD VYGD
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
West winds around 8 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Northeast winds around 8 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds around
8 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around 60.
$$
Forecaster...TEXEIRA
Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Center
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415232.4/EPZ
.DELDT 06/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov