Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
773
FNUS74 KEPZ 301051
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Sunset...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
451 AM MDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Low end chances (10-15%) of storms this afternoon. Isolated
storms expected Monday afternoon with best chances for storms
being Tuesday (50% chance). Min RH today will be 22% but will
slowly increase each day to 29% by Tuesday. 20 foot winds will
stay below critical thresholds each day with speeds generally
5-10 mph.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast around 7 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 8 mph shifting to the south 8 to 9
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (87800 knot-ft) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........22 9 5 21 64 62
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10
Temp............66 71 75 80 81 80
RH..............40 34 28 23 22 24
20 ft wind......W 5 W 5 S 5 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7
20 ft wind gust.12 12 9 14 14 15
Mix hgt (ft)....500 700 5200 11000 10600 10400
Transport wind..W 8 W 7 W 6 S 8 S 9 S 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 13 43 88 82 84
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the west
around 6 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph shifting to the west 9 to 13
mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (56400 knot-ft) .
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........55 55 24 24 24 23
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 0 0 0 0
Temp............79 75 72 70 68 66
RH..............25 29 30 34 37 42
20 ft wind......S 8 S 8 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 W 6
20 ft wind gust.16 16 17 15 15 12
Mix hgt (ft)....7100 700 600 600 600 500
Transport wind..S 9 S 9 S 13 S 13 SW 14 W 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..56 7 7 8 7 5
Ventrate Cat....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 13 mph in
the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast
late in the morning, then shifting to the
southeast 12 to 16 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (53800 knot-ft) increasing to very good
(127300 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24 24 24 14 14 14 25 25 25 25 25 25
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20
Temp............65 66 68 69 73 76 78 79 79 79 80 78
RH..............43 40 39 37 31 28 27 27 26 25 24 26
20 FT wind dir..N N N E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 5 5 10 10 10 13 13 13
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 13 13 13 21 21 21 22 22 22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 2.3 2.3 7.7 7.7 11 11 11 11 11 11
Transp wind dir.NW NW N N NE E SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.8 7 7 6 6 8 12 14 15 16 16 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 4 12 12 54 54 127 127 150 150 149 149
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around 7 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. Southwest winds around 6 mph.
$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...Alicia Schlarb
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620587.4/EPZ
.DELDT 08/30/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alicia.schlarb@usda.gov