Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
078
FNUS74 KEPZ 311150
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Sunset...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
550 AM MDT Mon Aug 31 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Very low chances for thunderstorms this afternoon (10-15%) with continued
low end chances for rain after 6PM tonight. 20 foot winds this afternoon
will become slightly breezier out of the southeast at 9-12 mph but calms
to light and variable overnight. Scattered thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon
and isolated storms expected Wednesday afternoon. Light winds at 5-8 mph
Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons. Min RHs will be 23-31% today through
Wednesday.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......15 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 12 mph in the
late morning and early afternoon, then shifting
to the southeast around 12 mph late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast
around 6 mph late in the morning, then shifting
to the southeast 6 to 15 mph in the late
morning and early afternoon increasing to
around 16 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4,000 knot-ft) increasing to very good
(119800 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........49 21 15 12 12 11
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 15
Temp............66 68 73 78 79 80
RH..............40 37 31 26 25 22
20 ft wind......NW 3 NW 3 E 5 SE 12 SE 12 SE 12
20 ft wind gust.8 8 13 21 21 22
Mix hgt (ft)....500 600 5700 10000 10200 9800
Transport wind..SW 8 W 5 E 6 SE 13 SE 15 SE 16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 4 28 120 143 137
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR VYGD VYGD VYGD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 11 mph shifting to the
southwest after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest
after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (109200 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
(4900 knot-ft) early in the evening.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........24 24 22 27 27 29
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 0 0 0
Temp............78 74 71 68 66 64
RH..............24 29 32 39 47 50
20 ft wind......SE 11 SE 11 S 10 SW 9 SW 9 SW 6
20 ft wind gust.20 20 18 20 20 13
Mix hgt (ft)....8400 700 600 600 600 500
Transport wind..SE 15 S 14 S 13 S 15 S 14 SW 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..109 9 7 8 7 5
Ventrate Cat....VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 7 mph
early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
southwest around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph shifting to the south 6 to
10 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (82300 knot-ft) .
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31 31 31 21 21 21 61 61 61 40 40 40
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 20 20 20
Temp............63 63 65 67 72 75 76 77 76 75 74 73
RH..............54 52 48 45 37 33 31 32 33 36 37 38
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW E E E SE SE SE SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 4 4 4 7 7 7 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 10 10 10 14 14 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 2.0 2.0 6.6 6.6 10 10 8.0 8.0 2.8 2.8
Transp wind dir.W W NW NW NW S S SW S SW S SW
Transp wind spd.9 8 7 6 6 6 8 9 8 8 8 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 4 10 10 33 33 82 82 56 56 20 20
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR GD GD FR FR PR PR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around
6 mph.
$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...Alicia Schlarb
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620587.5/EPZ
.DELDT 08/31/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alicia.schlarb@usda.gov