283
FNUS74 KEPZ 102313
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Antone...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
513 PM MDT Mon Jun 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 MDT on June 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Light winds can be expected with clearing skies tonight. Overnight
recoveries of 50% can be expected with min RH values dropping to
13% Tuesday afternoon. Light northwest breezes and dry conditions
will be seen tomorrow with clear skies becoming partly cloudy in
the afternoon. Light west to northwest breezes expected again on
Wednesday with dry conditions. Above average temperatures will be
seen Tuesday and Wednesday. Precipitation chances return late Thursday
and early Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 72-77.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (116700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      5 PM
Sky (%).........85
Weather cov.....NONE
Weather type....NONE
Tstm cov........NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10
LAL.............1
Temp............76
RH..............19
20 ft wind......W 6
20 ft wind gust.12
Mix hgt (ft)....9900
Transport wind..W 15
Haines index....3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..110
Ventrate Cat....VYGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 8 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight, then shifting to the northwest
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (102000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........69     69     29     21     21     5
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     5      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............74     66     61     58     55     53
RH..............22     30     38     42     49     48
20 ft wind......N 4    N 4    SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   N 2
20 ft wind gust.15     13     8      6      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....8500   1000   400    400    400    400
Transport wind..NW 10  N  8   NE 8   NW 8   NW 8
Haines index....3      3      3      3      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..100    33     3      3      3      3
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......13100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (35900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (109800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........5         4         8         30
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............52        67        78        84
RH..............46        29        18        14
20 FT wind......W 2G8     NW 3G13   NW 5G14   NW 5G15
Mix hgt (ft)....3600      3600      11600     13100
Transport wind..NW 10     NW 10     NW 9      NW 9
Haines index....4         5         5         6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..36        36        82        110
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      GOOD      VYGD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds around
6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...NMSDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415831.3/EPZ
.DELDT 06/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@firenet.gov