229
FNUS74 KEPZ 132316
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Blue...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
416 PM MST Thu Nov 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Friday`s weather will be close to what was seen for Thursday with
similar temperatures though with improvements in overnight
recoveries as some low-level moisture creeps in. Skies will be
variable beneath high clouds, so perhaps not as clear as indicated
in the table below. Winds will be largely terrain driven but with
background and ridge top from the south. Venting will be good in
the afternoon with smoke transport to the north.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (61100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  20  20  20  18  18  18  10  10  10
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  46  50  52  53  53  53  52  50  46
RH..............51  45  39  35  35  35  33  35  36  42
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   7   7   8   8   8   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.6 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  13  17  17  17  17  13  13  13  13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..21  21  61  61  61  61  51  51  51  51
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR  FR  FR  FR

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 6 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).

TIME (MST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........11     11     13     15     15     17
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............44     40     39     38     37     37
RH..............47     50     52     54     56     54
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 6   SW 6   NW 6
20 ft wind gust.10     10     12     12     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..SW 8   SW 8   S 8    S 8    S 8    S 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2      2      0      0      0      0
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 6 to 7 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (69800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........25     25     37     52     52     46
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............37     40     46     50     50     46
RH..............52     46     37     33     34     42
20 ft wind......NE 6   NE 6   S 6    SW 7   SW 7   SW 7
20 ft wind gust.12     12     13     16     16     16
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   1000   4400   4400   4200   4200
Transport wind..S 8    S 8    SW 16  SW 16  SW 17  SW 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9      9      70     70     67     67
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   GOOD   GOOD   GOOD   GOOD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Colder. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers, slight chance of
thunderstorms and snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds around 12 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers, thunderstorms and snow
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 40. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds around 9 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...Hedgeman
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525590.2/EPZ
.DELDT 11/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov