Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
631
FNUS74 KEPZ 101939
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Monastery Piles...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1239 PM MST Mon Nov 10 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 MST on November 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Beginning on Wednesday, dry and warm conditions are expected with
highs in the low 60s through Thursday. Winds are expected to be
light and variable Wednesday morning, shifting southwesterly and
increasing to 5 to 10 mph during the afternoon. Ventilation will be
fair for the afternoon with modest transport winds. Overnight RH
recovery will be poor to fair. A very similar day is expected for
Thursday before breezy southwest winds arrive for Friday ahead of
a storm system. Rain and snow chances arrive Friday night, continuing
through Saturday as temperatures fall to below normal. Breezy winds
linger through Saturday.
.5 AM WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 5AM
Sky (%).........39
Weather cov.....NONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0
Temp............38
RH..............40
20 FT wind dir..N
20 FT wind spd..5
20 FT wind gust.7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1
Transp wind dir.N
Transp wind spd.6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0
Ventrate Cat....PR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the west 5
to 7 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the west 11 to
12 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (44000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29 29 29 21 21 21 28 28 28 42 42 42
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............38 40 44 49 54 57 60 61 62 61 59 54
RH..............40 37 32 25 21 18 15 14 14 14 15 19
20 FT wind dir..N N N W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 9 9 9 14 14 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.N N N N W W W W SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 1 4 13 23 33 43 44 34 14 4
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR PR PR
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest
around 5 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50 50 50 59 59 59 63 63 63 59 59 59
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............51 49 48 47 46 44 44 43 42 42 41 40
RH..............22 25 26 27 27 28 28 29 30 30 31 33
20 FT wind dir..W W W NW NW NW N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 8 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest 13 to 15 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (62600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57 57 57 53 53 53 59 59 59 59 59 59
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............40 41 45 49 53 56 58 59 60 59 57 52
RH..............34 33 29 26 23 21 21 20 20 21 23 28
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.7 7 7 12 12 12 15 15 15 15 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 15 15 15 15 13 13 13 13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8 8 8 8 63 63 63 63 55 55 55 55
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD FR FR FR FR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds around 8 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Colder. Mostly cloudy with chance of showers, snow showers. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and slight chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds
around 7 mph.
$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...Silver City Dispatch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525537.0/EPZ
.DELDT 11/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Daniel.london@usda.gov,nmsdc@firenet.gov,zachary.armijo@usda.gov