376
FNUS74 KEPZ 081848
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Fork Tank...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1248 PM MDT Sat Aug 8 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MDT on August 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms possible this afternoon but should be out of
the general area early this evening. A little more of an uptick in storm
activity tomorrow afternoon with scattered thunderstorms beginning around
noon. More thunderstorms again on Monday afternoon. 20 foot winds stay
fairly light each afternoon at 5-10 mph, outside of thunderstorm outflows.
Temperatures will stay 3-6 degrees above normal through Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......12600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph shifting to the south
                    around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (100900 knot-ft) .

TIME (MDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........14     25     25
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10
Temp............85     85     84
RH..............20     18     20
20 ft wind......SE 5   S 5    S 5
20 ft wind gust.15     17     17
Mix hgt (ft)....11900  12600  12600
Transport wind..E 8    SE 8   S 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..83     85     101
Ventrate Cat....GOOD   GOOD   VYGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 12 mph decreasing to 8 to 9
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (79800 knot-ft) .

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........43     43     32     24     24     21
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
Temp............81     73     66     63     61     58
RH..............23     34     48     54     58     62
20 ft wind......SW 4   SW 4   W 2    W 2    W 2    W 2
20 ft wind gust.16     16     12     9      9      8
Mix hgt (ft)....8000   1000   600    600    600    600
Transport wind..SW 12  W 12   SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   SW 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..80     10     5      5      5      5
Ventrate Cat....GOOD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 8 mph shifting to the east late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the north
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon shifting to
                    the west around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (76000 knot-ft) .

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........21        10        26        60
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         40        40
Temp............57        68        83        81
RH..............64        45        24        26
20 FT wind......SW 2G7    S 2G8     E 3G13    E 3G16
Mix hgt (ft)....600       2000      11500     9700
Transport wind..SW 7      SW 8      E 8       NE 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4         14        76        58
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      GOOD      FAIR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs around 80. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...NMSDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619231.0/EPZ
.DELDT 08/08/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@firenet.gov