150
FNUS74 KEPZ 141614
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Cloudcroft Slash RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
914 AM MST Tue Jan 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on January 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Low fire danger at least the next few days as min RH values
remain in the mid 30s and 40s with light winds. Can expect some passing
clouds the next few days with no chances for precipitation and a gradual
increase in temperatures. Ventilation rates will be poor to fair today
through Thursday becoming excellent Friday due to breezy conditions.


...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 35.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   3   3   3   3   15  15  15
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............20  24  29  32  34  35  35  32  28
RH..............77  68  55  51  47  45  47  53  63
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  14  14  14  14  7   7   7   7
Haines index....2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  21  32  32  32  24  24  24  24
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 12.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 8 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........21  21  21  24  24  24  22  22  22  17  17  17
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............24  22  21  19  18  17  16  15  14  14  13  12
RH..............77  81  77  84  84  84  84  88  92  92  91  96
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   9   6   6   6   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 38.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph shifting to the north around 4
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  14  14  11  11  11  9   9   9   7   7   7
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............12  12  16  21  27  31  34  37  38  38  36  31
RH..............91  91  77  65  53  47  43  40  38  38  42  49
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   4   4   4   4
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   3   3   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 16. Highs in the mid 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs around 40. West winds
around 12 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 20. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds
around 11 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...Matthew Barone
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500582.0/EPZ
.DELDT 01/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.barone@usda.gov