Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
861
FNUS74 KEPZ 211205
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Monastery Piles RX...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
505 AM MST Fri Nov 21 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0715 MST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Low fire danger today with wet forest conditions. Min RH 40-50%
today with light winds and Poor ventilation. Winds increasing out
of the southeast on Saturday, shifting quickly to the west on
Sunday. Additional rain showers Saturday night into Sunday, with
forecasted rain amounts 0.20-0.40" over the burn area. Dry
weather through most of next week, with no significant winds
expected.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the south 7
to 9 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4200 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33 33 13 13 13 53 53 53 65 65 65
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............30 34 41 44 47 48 49 50 49 49 46
RH..............92 82 65 58 49 46 46 44 48 48 56
20 FT wind dir..NE NE SE SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 1.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 5 5 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 4 4 21 21 21 21 22 22 22 22
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 6 to 8 mph in the
late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5000 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70 70 70 45 45 45 25 25 25 12 12 12
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............43 41 39 37 37 36 36 36 35 35 36 36
RH..............62 65 70 70 70 69 67 67 66 66 64 61
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..4 4 4 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 13 13 13 13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of rain
showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (91700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7 7 7 12 12 12 43 43 43 53 53 53
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20
Temp............36 36 41 48 50 53 55 55 54 53 52 50
RH..............61 67 59 47 44 41 40 41 43 45 47 50
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..9 9 9 11 11 11 12 12 12 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.18 18 18 23 23 23 23 23 23 22 22 22
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.14 14 14 14 23 23 23 23 21 21 21 21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24 24 24 24 92 92 92 92 83 83 83 83
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
Southwest winds around 7 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds around 6 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Light winds.
$$
Forecaster...DENNHARDT
Requested by...Silver City Dispatch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526383.2/EPZ
.DELDT 11/21/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov