278
FNUS74 KEPZ 251334
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for 2025 Gila Severity...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
734 AM MDT Wed Jun 25 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on June 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Western portion of GNF has remained mostly dry, with rain showers
focused further east over the Black Range. Beginning to look like
any future fire risk will favor locations closer to the AZ state
line. Scattered thunderstorms forming over the campground around
noon today, with motion to the east around 20 mph. Rain coverage
will once again favor eastern Catron County this evening, and way
more hit-and-miss to the west. Light southwest winds and Fair
ventilation today.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 7 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (87900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 11 mph.

TIME (MDT)      2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM
Sky (%).........40     33     66     66     49
Weather cov.....NONE   CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE   CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      30     50     50     30
Temp............57     66     70     74     75
RH..............80     58     42     35     29
20 ft wind......S 1    S 3    SW 7   SW 7   SW 8
20 ft wind gust.5      12     15     15     16
Transport wind..S 7    SW 7   SW 7   SW 11  SW 11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15     45     45     88     88
Ventrate Cat....POOR   FAIR   FAIR   GOOD   GOOD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (82700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph.

TIME (MDT)      NOON         4 PM         8 PM
Sky (%).........51           47           35
Weather cov.....S CHC        NONE         NONE
Weather type....RNSHWR       NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC        NONE         NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).20           10           0
Temp............75           61           52
RH..............28           49           74
20 FT wind......S 5G15       E 2G8        S 2G6
Transport wind..S 9          S 8          SW 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..83           5            4
Ventrate Cat....GOOD         POOR         POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (41600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      MIDNGT       4 AM         8 AM
Sky (%).........17           26           53
Weather cov.....NONE         NONE         CHANCE
Weather type....NONE         NONE         RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE         NONE         CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10           10           30
Temp............48           70           76
RH..............83           33           22
20 FT wind......N 1G3        NE 2G8       S 5G10
Transport wind..NW 5         NW 6         W 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..14           40           42
Ventrate Cat....POOR         POOR         FAIR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...DENNHARDT
Requested by...Scott Reid
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516386.3/EPZ
.DELDT 06/25/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scott.reid@usda.gov