Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
486
FNUS74 KEPZ 141342
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Meadow Fire...USFS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
742 AM MDT Sat Jun 14 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on June 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Other than few to scattered cumulus developing this afternoon,
mainly sunny skies are expected today with very good ventilation.
Winds start out with light drainage flow from the east this
morning, shifting westerly this afternoon at around 10 mph. Winds
become light and shift easterly overnight with poor RH recovery.
Warm temperatures will continue into next week with very low
humidity and drying fuels. For the site, rain/storm chances will
remain near zero through the weekend with high pressure overhead.
Winds will be modestly breezy again Sunday from the west to around
10 mph during the afternoon. Breezier west winds develop Monday
and Tuesday afternoons with excellent ventilation.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Areas of smoke through the
day.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 8 to 9 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......11900 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL late in
the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the west 12
to 14 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14000 knot-ft) increasing to very good
(133700 knot-ft) in the late morning and
afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........2 1 2 2 2
Weather cov.....AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS
Weather type....SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0
Temp............69 77 83 87 88
RH..............22 16 13 11 11
20 ft wind......NW 4 NW 6 W 8 W 8 W 9
20 ft wind gust.9 13 16 16 17
Mix hgt (ft)....600 6900 11900 12600 12600
Transport wind..NW 6 W 10 W 14 W 12 W 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 65 135 134 134
Ventrate Cat....POOR GOOD VYGD VYGD VYGD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Areas of smoke
early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the north
around 5 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......10500 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL in the
late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 12 mph shifting to the north
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (115300 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
(2200 knot-ft) in the late evening and
overnight.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........8 8 7 8 8 6
Weather cov.....AREAS AREAS NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....SMOKE SMOKE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............85 77 72 69 67 65
RH..............12 14 17 17 19 18
20 ft wind......W 9 W 9 W 6 NW 5 NW 5 N 5
20 ft wind gust.18 15 12 9 9 9
Mix hgt (ft)....10500 1500 300 300 300 300
Transport wind..W 12 W 12 W 8 W 8 N 7 N 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..115 15 3 3 2 2
Ventrate Cat....VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
late in the morning, then shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 16400 ft AGL in the
late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the west 8 to 12
mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10700 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
(151100 knot-ft) in the late morning and
afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........5 5 14 23
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10
Temp............64 76 85 90
RH..............19 15 12 10
20 FT wind......N 4G10 NW 5G12 W 7G17 W 10G20
Mix hgt (ft)....200 2700 16400 16300
Transport wind..N 5 N 5 W 8 SW 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 11 151 173
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR EXNT EXNT
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Northwest winds around 8 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Northwest
winds around 9 mph.
$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...Silver City Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2515840.4/EPZ
.DELDT 06/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov