Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
425
FNUS74 KEPZ 101638
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for 16 Springs RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
938 AM MST Mon Nov 10 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on November 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
For today, dry and warmer conditions are expected with light and
variable winds through the afternoon. Winds increase tonight from
the west to 10-15 mph, shifting more northwesterly during the day
tomorrow. Elevated fire weather concerns are possible Tuesday
afternoon with humidity near 15 percent. Temperatures stay warm
through midweek with generally light west winds expected each day.
Ventilation will improve slightly to fair to good after today.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
north late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the north
around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25800 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2 2 2 2 2 4 4 4
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............55 58 60 62 63 61 57 51
RH..............27 25 23 22 20 25 28 34
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE N N N
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.10 10 13 13 13 13 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 2.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 2.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW N N N N
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..16 16 26 26 27 27 17 7
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph increasing to around 19 mph
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5200 knot-ft).
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5 5 5 4 4 4 6 6 6 5 5 5
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............48 45 43 42 41 39 38 38 37 36 35 34
RH..............37 38 39 39 39 40 44 44 46 47 49 51
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 12
20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 18 18 18 20 20 20 22 22 22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.9 9 9 9 15 15 15 15 19 19 19 19
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.VETERANS DAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 19 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (58500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 16 16 16
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............34 36 42 49 54 59 64 66 67 65 61 54
RH..............54 50 44 36 30 24 21 20 19 20 21 27
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.23 23 23 22 22 22 22 22 22 20 20 20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 1.2 1.2 1.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 1.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.19 19 19 19 22 22 22 22 20 20 20 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 4 14 24 39 49 59 59 52 42 32 12
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. West
winds around 7 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West
winds around 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds around 13 mph.
$$
Forecaster...ARONSON
Requested by...Matthew Barone
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525324.4/EPZ
.DELDT 11/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.barone@usda.gov