Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
433
FNUS74 KEPZ 022328
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Primer...FS
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
528 PM MDT Tue Sep 2 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 MDT on September 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will keep thunderstorm chances fairly low tomorrow
and Thursday. A 10 percent chance of storms tomorrow afternoon, but
increases slightly to 20 percent Thursday afternoon and evening.
20 foot wind speeds will be 5-12mph the next few afternoons, but
calm drainage winds expected overnight. Better rain chances
arrive Friday thanks to a tropical system, but confidence is low
at this time.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 12 mph.
Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (123500 knot-ft).
TIME (MDT) 5PM
Sky (%).........28
Weather cov.....NONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10
Temp............78
RH..............28
20 FT wind dir..SE
20 FT wind spd..12
20 FT wind gust.21
Mix hgt (kft)...9.1
Transp wind dir.SE
Transp wind spd.15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..124
Ventrate Cat....VGD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (104900 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
(0 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........29 29 29 45 45 45 43 43 43 37 37 37
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).7 7 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............75 70 67 65 63 62 61 60 59 58 57 56
RH..............31 35 40 41 44 46 48 51 55 55 57 59
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...8.7 6.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E
Transp wind spd.12 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..101 75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ventrate Cat....VGD GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the south 7
to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph shifting to the south 9 to 10
mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (87900 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26 26 26 29 29 29 30 30 30 31 31 31
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 7 7 7 7 7
Temp............56 57 61 66 71 74 77 79 80 81 81 80
RH..............59 57 51 45 36 33 29 28 26 25 23 24
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E S S S SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 10 10 10 14 14 14 15 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8
Transp wind dir.E E E E SE SE SE SE S S S S
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8 8 8 8 71 71 71 71 88 88 88 88
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds around
7 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs around 70. Southwest winds around 7 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 6 mph.
$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...NMSDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521147.0/EPZ
.DELDT 09/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov