562
FXUS64 KEWX 241922
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
222 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

The upper level ridge centered over and northwest of the area will
continue to produce for most locations a dry forecast through the
short term. Beneath the ridge is a pool of elevated moisture across
the Coastal Plains and there is a 10-20% chance of stray to isolated
tropical showers and thunderstorms in forecast this afternoon across
this area. A few CAMs bring stray showers near the San Antonio metro
area early in the evening. Activity should dissipate after sunset.
Again, most locations will stay dry.

Otherwise warm and humid conditions. This afternoon, some isolated
spots in the Coastal Plains and near the I-35 corridor could see
peak heat index values of around 105-108 degrees. We will issue a
Special Weather Statement for this. Heat index values and the heat
risk increase slightly Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

The subtropical ridge will keep dry weather in place at the start of
the long term. High temperatures will continue to be mostly in the
90s across the CWA Wednesday and Thursday. Afternoon dewpoints in the
70s may push heat indices (HI) to advisory levels over the Coastal
Plains and I-35 Corridor Wednesday. However, slightly better mixing
Thursday may keep HI below criteria. A trough at 500 mb will push
the upper ridge to the west Thursday and this weakness on the eastern
side may allow isolated convection over the Coastal Plains Friday
and Saturday afternoons. Temperatures will be about the same for the
end of the work week and weekend. Another uptick in dewpoint
temperatures Saturday may push HI to advisory levels, but they drop
back down again for Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

VFR conditions are forecast for the local area airports through at
least the early overnight period. Low clouds are forecast to develop
and affect the local terminals along the I-35 corridor overnight into
the mid to late Tuesday morning time frame. VFR cigs return late
Tuesday morning across all of the local area airports.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              78  97  78  98 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  76  95  77  97 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     77  96  77  97 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            76  96  77  97 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           81 101  81 102 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        76  96  77  97 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             77  97  77  97 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        76  94  75  96 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   77  92  77  94 /   0  10   0  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       78  96  78  97 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           78  97  78  98 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...17
Long-Term...05
Aviation...17