386
FXUS64 KEWX 161743
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1243 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION (18Z TAFS)...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Drier, warmer, and quieter weather finally arrives today and
  continues through the weekend and early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

FINALLY. Quiet weather is expected for the short term period with
more typical Summer-time temperatures and humidity. A quick look at
the GOES-19 WV imagery shows Subtropical Ridging to our east, which
should begin expanding westward into South Central Texas through mid
to late week. In the northern Gulf, Invest 93L remains rather
disorganized and is ultimately expected to move inland over
Mississippi or Louisiana by late week. Some moisture from this
system may work inland over SE Texas on Friday, but ultimately, rain
chances are rather low, less than 20% and only over the Coastal
Plains Friday afternoon and evening. In the meantime, expect muggy,
mostly cloudy mornings with temperatures in the 70s and mostly
sunny, hot afternoons with highs in the mid to upper 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

Once 93L moves inland, we should see ridging strengthen this weekend
into early next week. Hot temperatures, something it seems like we
haven`t seen much of at all this Summer, will actually return for
the next week and beyond, with dry weather also expected. Highs in
the mid to upper 90s with heat indices in the 100-17 range will be
common through the long term period, so be sure to hydrate and take
frequent breaks if you plan to be outdoors.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

VFR conditions have returned for all I-35 TAF sites. In fact expect
SCT to even FEW clouds for the rest of the afternoon into this
evening. Looking at current visible satellite we are already seeing
mostly clear skies as clouds continue to break up and dissipate.
MVFR conditions are expected to return overnight and last through
early morning at all I-35 TAF sites. Have added TEMPOs to account
for this. VFR conditions then return by Thursday afternoon. For KDRT
expect current MVFR conditions to continue a bit longer (02Z) as the
cloud deck slowly erodes then expect VFR conditions to continue
throughout the forecast period. Southerly winds should stay in the 10-
15kt range with some occasional gusts up to 20kts possible before
settling back down this evening/overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              74  96  74  94 /   0   0   0  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  72  96  72  93 /   0   0   0  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     72  96  72  94 /   0   0   0  10
Burnet Muni Airport            71  94  71  92 /   0   0   0  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           75  97  74  96 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        72  96  73  93 /   0   0   0  10
Hondo Muni Airport             72  94  71  93 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        72  96  72  94 /   0   0   0  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   73  94  74  91 /   0   0   0  20
San Antonio Intl Airport       74  96  74  93 /   0   0   0  10
Stinson Muni Airport           74  98  74  96 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...MMM
Long-Term...MMM
Aviation...CJM