966
FNUS74 KEWX 160153
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for 7-2025 Texas Floods...MO Task Force 1
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
853 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 CDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms still capable of producing locally heavy
rain, gusty winds, and lightning may track north into Kerr County
between 10 PM CDT Tuesday and midnight. A quick inch of rain is
possible. Given saturated soils in the area, heavy rain rates can
quickly produce runoff and stream rises. A Flood Watch remains in
effect until 2 AM CDT early Wednesday morning. Rain chances
decrease afterwards though low clouds are expected to increase
close to sunrise. Mostly sunny conditions are forecast Wednesday
with afternoon temperatures in the lower 90s and heat indices in
the mid to upper 90s. Mostly sunny and dry conditions continue
into Thursday with similar daytime temperatures and heat indices.
Winds are expected to remain light and below 15 mph over the next
two days, though gusty winds are possible with the showers and
storms late Tuesday/early Wednesday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds around 8 mph.

TIME (CDT)      5AM
Sky (%).........80
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10
Temp............73
RH..............97
Surface wnd dir.S
Surface wnd spd.8
Surface wnd gst.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 8 to 14 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  83  86  89  79  69  54  39  15  13  11  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  73  73  74  76  78  81  84  87  89  90  91
RH..............97  96  99  97  93  90  81  76  65  59  55  53
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.8   8   9   10  10  13  13  13  14  14  13  13
Surface wnd gst.    17  17  18  18  20  20  20  21  21  21  20

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 6 to 12 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........12  11  9   13  17  17  18  18  22  26  30  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............89  89  86  81  80  78  77  76  74  73  71  70
RH..............55  54  57  65  67  71  77  82  86  88  92  97
Surface wnd dir.S   SE  S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.12  10  9   9   9   8   8   7   7   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.18  18  17  17  18  18  17  16  15  15  14  13

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds around 5 mph increasing to
                    southeast in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  38  37  37  36  33  29  26  28  30  32  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............69  69  71  74  77  80  84  87  89  90  91  91
RH..............99  99  97  88  82  73  65  57  52  50  48  47
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.5   5   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  9
Surface wnd gst.12  12  12  13  14  15  15  16  16  16  16  15

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Jeff Buchheit
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2518057.0/EWX
.DELDT 07/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jbuchheit@bcfdmo.com