218
FXUS62 KFFC 261138
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
638 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026



...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 633 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026

 - An Ice Storm Warning remains in effect for northeast Georgia
   through Monday morning due to lingering effects of the ice
   storm with patchy black ice. Black ice conditions are expected
   over much of north and portions of central Georgia this
   morning.

 - Gusty winds from 25-30mph across the area today are likely
   which could lead to worsening conditions in areas that still
   have ice accumulations.

 - Dangerously cold nighttime temperatures from Monday to
   potentially Thursday will be an added concern for those still
   without power and vulnerable populations.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 321 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026

Showers are still lingering over the far southeastern central
Georgia counties but these should come to an end in the next hour
which will lead to dry conditions through at least mid week.
Temperatures this morning are ranging from the teens in far north
Georgia to the low to mid 30s over central Georgia. Will see temps
continue to drop in central Georgia through the morning to the low
30s. Ice storm warning will continue through ~14-15z due to ice
effects lingering over the area with black ice probable across
much of north and portions of central Georgia this morning. A cold
weather advisory is also in affect for north Georgia and areas of
western Georgia for wind chills in the -4 to 15 degree range
across north and central Georgia. There is also another cold
weather advisory that will go into effect tonight and last through
Tuesday morning for very cold wind chills from -4 in the mountains
to 15 in central Georgia. Many areas north of I-20 will see wind
chills below 5 degrees. Morning actual temps for Tuesday in the
single digits for the mountains down to the teens in central
Georgia.

Winds will be a concern today especially for areas where ice
accumulated as wind gusts from 25-30 mph can be expected across
the region today. Temps across north Georgia will likely not get
above freezing, especially in areas that saw sleet/ice
accumulation which will in turn unfortunately lead to less than
ideal melting conditions. One saving grace may be that we are
expecting the sun to come out this afternoon which should aid in
some melting efforts. Will likely still see some areas though
frozen through Tuesday when temps warm to the mid to upper 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 321 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026

The Short Version:

Cold air remains in place through the week. There remains some small
probability of winter weather during the weekend, but run to run
variability remains high, meaning uncertainty remains high on any
potential amounts or impacts, if any at all.

Discussion:

Cold air is mostly locked in place over the CWA for Wednesday and
Thursday as the tropospheric polar vortex remains locked over the
eastern half of Canada and the US. A few waves will rotate within
that, with one looking progged to push a front towards the area
Thursday night into Friday. Guidance (ensembles) are actually
starting to lean towards keeping this system a little further to the
north, so overnight temperatures Thursday into Friday have come up
some...relatively speaking, since they are still in the 20s for
most. Better than the teens.

The trade off with the above is that the colder air now looks as
though it may push into the area during the weekend. Some ensemble
agreement even among different cores starting to form of a very
positively tilted trough digging down deep into the south, pushing
another Arctic airmass into the area. Where uncertainty gets really
high is what may happen after, in terms of winter weather. Models
this evening seem to like the idea of developing a low along either
the Gulf coast or Atlantic coast and spinning up a decent storm with
that. Both of these options likely like north and central Georgia
mostly without snow...though not always. Still seeing some
probabilities of 1" of snow from 10-15% in various areas in the
ensembles. So, what we`ll say is to continue to monitor things. The
probability of winter weather impacts remains low, but it isn`t
zero. Hopefully we start to see more consistency in the next few
runs and can begin to speak with a bit more confidence about what
may happen, given we are getting within the 5 day time period.

Lusk

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 633 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026

BKN MVFR should give way to SCT MVFR and VFR late this morning
before becoming SKC overnight into tomorrow. NW winds are expected
to gust to 30kt through the afternoon before diminishing
overnight.


//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          36  14  39  23 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         32  15  40  24 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     25   5  36  15 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    32  10  39  19 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        39  17  44  23 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     32  14  37  24 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           41  17  45  23 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            32  13  44  22 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  35  12  41  21 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         45  20  45  26 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>038-041>050-052>060-066>072-
078>082-089>094-102-103.

Cold Weather Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Tuesday
for GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-
078>086-089>098-102>113.

Ice Storm Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for GAZ008-009-
013>016-021>025-027-032>039-045>051-055-057-062.

Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for
GAZ058>061-072-073.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...Hernandez