509
FXUS62 KFFC 240019
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
819 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026



...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

  - Elevated fire danger conditions persist for central Georgia
    through Friday afternoon due to low relative humidity.

  - Rain-free conditions and near-seasonal temperatures will
    remain for the next 7 days, with a slight cool-down Saturday
    through early next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 153 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026

A high pressure regime over the region will keep dry conditions in
place through the short term period, with rain chances expected to
be near 0% this afternoon through the weekend. High temperatures
this afternoon will be in the upper 60s in portions of far northeast
Georgia and low to mid 70s elsewhere across the area. Strong mixing
and subsidence under the high has contributed to quickly dropping
dewpoints in the late morning and early afternoon. Hi-res guidance,
CONSShort, and NBM 10th percentile were blended into the dewpoint
forecast to capture this trend. With the resulting relative humidity
values under 25% for a few hours this afternoon combined with dry
finer fuels, a Fire Danger Statement is in effect for portions of
central Georgia until 8 PM EDT this evening.

As the axis of strong upper level ridging moves east towards the
Mississippi River Valley, the associated surface high will approach
New England and a CAD wedge will develop along the lee side of the
Appalachians and spread across north Georgia on Saturday. Low
temperatures will start the morning in the mid to upper 40s across
the area once again, while the cooler air in the wedge largely
limits high temperatures to the upper 60s to low 70s. The slightly
lower temperatures and increase of low-level Atlantic moisture in
the easterly flow should keep fire danger criteria from being
reached on Saturday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 153 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026

A quiet long-term forecast is in store with dominant surface high-
pressure conditions keeping the sensible weather dry and cool
through the weekend. At the mid-upper levels, our region is between
a weak low transiting along the Carolina coast and an amplified
ridge building in toward the ArkLaTex region. The primary effect of
this will be a renewed development of the CAD pattern and a
strengthening of the northeast winds over the area through early
next week. As a result, some gusty winds will be possible through
the weekend, peaking in the afternoon--particularly south of the I-
85 interchange around 15-20mph each day. Otherwise, a few more
clouds may be around, but things will remain very dry with no chance
of rain through the end of next week. Along with these dry
conditions, we will continue to keep an eye on our RH values through
the forecast period in case a Fire Danger Statement is warranted.

Temperatures will be near seasonal averages to slightly below for
the weekend before a gradual warming trend begins as we move into
early next week, with daytime highs rising into the mid to upper 70s
range by mid-week. Additionally, models are in agreement beyond mid-
week for the upper-level pattern to become more zonal, setting up
the potential for a reintroduction of southwesterly flow over the
region. The jury is still out, however, on whether this translates
into any meaningful rainfall, as models are currently split on the
extent of Gulf moisture influx as we transition into late next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 818 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026

VFR through TAF period with no wx, vsby, or cig impacts. Winds
remain from ENE to E through period. Overnight they will be 4-8
kts, increasing to 7-12 kts by 14Z across all sites. Some gusts
approaching 20kts will be possible tomorrow afternoon.


//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...

High all elements.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          46  69  46  70 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         50  69  50  70 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     42  68  41  68 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    47  71  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        47  74  50  74 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     48  67  47  67 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           46  73  49  74 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            45  73  44  73 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  44  70  46  70 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         49  73  52  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...King
LONG TERM....82
AVIATION...Lusk