756
FXUS62 KFFC 080515
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
115 AM EDT Sat Jun 8 2024



...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024

At a glance:

-Dry and pleasant today and tomorrow!

-Warm temps remain locked in over the SE.

A quick look on satellite and it`s easy to see where the cold front
is over Georgia right now. It will gradually meander to the
southeast spreading drier conditions deeper into the south. Given
the lack of any kind of upper level dynamics, mid level moisture or
strong lift the front is doing little more than making today and
tomorrow drier with NW flow.

Winds are expected to shift to the ESE during the early morning
hours tomorrow before becoming SSE by tomorrow night. Conditions
will remain lovely but by the end of the short term we expect to see
a gradual trend of increasing humidity. So enjoy the nice weather
while you can!

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Our dry period of weather is expected to come to an end on Sunday as
large, broad toughing over the east coast will bring a weak frontal
boundary to the forecast area and bring multiple rounds of activity
through the long term. As this boundary slowly sags south over the
forecast area, daily rain chances will begin over north Georgia
Sunday and will encompass locations areawide by midweek. Sunday, an
MCS-like feature appears to ride the boundary as the mid-level
trough deepens over southeastern Canada. This frontal boundary will
slow to a crawl and become stalled across south Georgia/northern
Florida where it will continue to serve as the focal point for daily
shower and thunderstorm development through the long term period.
Model guidance trends show a northward surge of tropical moisture
that will interact with the trough and boundary Thursday. This looks
to produce a mess of widespread showers and storms, with the
northern fringe extending through central Georgia. Despite CAPE
values running between 1000-2000 J/kg and non-negligible shear
values, no widespread severe activity is expected at this time,
though a few storms could become strong with an isolated severe
storm through the week. PWATs around 1.5" through the week could
result in locally heavy rainfall in the strongest storms.

As our dry spell comes to an end, we will also see an end to our
warmer than average temperatures. With high temperatures in the mid
to upper 90s Sunday and Monday for locations generally south of I-
20, the "cooler" temperatures will accompany the frontal passage. By
midweek most locations will see daily high temperatures in the 80s.

KAL

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 101 AM EDT Sat Jun 8 2024

VFR through the period. Some passing mid/high clouds. Winds will
be a challenge due to light speeds. SW very early this morning,
east for a few hours during the mid/late morning and then back to
the SW for the afternoon. Speeds all under 6 kt.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Med confidence on wind direction. High confidence remaining
elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          64  93  70  89 /   0  10  20  30
Atlanta         69  94  71  90 /   0  10  10  30
Blairsville     62  83  63  80 /  10  40  30  30
Cartersville    63  91  67  88 /   0  20  20  30
Columbus        69  96  73  95 /   0   0  10  30
Gainesville     67  90  69  87 /   0  20  20  30
Macon           62  96  73  95 /   0   0  10  30
Rome            62  92  68  88 /  10  30  20  30
Peachtree City  63  94  70  91 /   0  10  10  30
Vidalia         67  97  75  96 /   0   0  10  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....KAL
AVIATION...NListemaa