138
FXUS62 KFFC 111925
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
225 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025


...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 221 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025


 - A Fire Danger Statement is in effect through 6 PM for parts of
   central GA due to low relative humidities and dry fuels. Please
   use extreme caution if doing any outdoor burning.

 - Dry weather and gradually warming temperatures are expected
   through the week, with temperatures steadily rise back into the
   70s by the end of the week.

- There are some indications that an approaching system could
  bring another round of showers and thunderstorms towards the end
  of the weekend, though uncertainty remains high.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 221 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

As the period begins, much of the region is situated underneath
northwesterly upper level flow as a high-amplitude longwave
troughing moves away to the northeast. At the surface, high pressure
(1030 mb) accompanying the Arctic airmass is centered over the Deep
South and is expected to gradually advance east-southeast through
the period. The Winter Weather Advisory in far northeast Georgia and
the Freeze Warning across the area have been allowed to expire. With
a hard freeze and temperatures of 28 degrees or below being widely
observed early this morning, we should be able to end the
frost/freeze program across north and central Georgia for the winter
season. With plenty of sunshine and dry air under the high,
lingering ice on the roads in far northeast area should continue to
quickly disappear, though a few slick spots may remain in shaded
areas. Aside from temperatures in the upper 30s to mid 40s in the
far northeast mountains, highs will rise into the upper 40s to low
50s this afternoon. These highs will range from 15-20 degrees below
daily normals.

With drier air within the Arctic airmass, breezy
westerly/northwesterly flow, and subsidence underneath the high,
relative humidity values are expected to drop to between 20-25
percent this afternoon in central Georgia including the Oconee
district. These low RH values and dry 10 hour fuels overlapping in
this area have warranted a Fire Danger Statement in effect until 6
PM this evening. Winds will be 6-12 mph over this area, though too
light for Red Flag criteria to be reached. Low temperatures
overnight into Wednesday morning will drop to the low to mid 30s
across the forecast area. As the surface high continues to move
southeast, winds will shift to the southwest and low level moisture
will begin to increase overnight into Wednesday. In spite of
increasing dewpoints, precipitation is not expected on Wednesday. A
warming trend will continue under the high pressure regime, with
highs climbing into the low to mid 60s in north Georgia (with 50s in
the highest elevations) and upper 60s in central Georgia.

&&


.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 221 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

By the time the long term picks up, the worst of the cold will be
behind us. The area will slowly see a steady rise in temperatures
through the remainder of the work week. Especially in afternoon
high temps which are expected to fight their way back up into the
low to mid 70s by the weekend. Overnight lows will gradually
increase from the mid 40s to the 50s by the weekend.

Other than that, the weather becomes pretty benign again. Models are
still conflicted about the timing and possibility of a front that
may bring another shot of rain and a few thunderstorms towards the
end of the weekend, but expect increasingly warm and pleasant
conditions for the rest of the week.

&&


.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1244 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period, with mostly
clear skies and some passing high cirrus. Winds will be W to NW
at 7-10 kts with gusts of 15-20 kts this afternoon. By 00-01Z,
winds are expected to shift to SW and diminish to 4-8 kts and
remain so into Wednesday morning. By 15-16Z on Wednesday, winds
will become W at 8-12 mph with gusts of 18-22 kts.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

King

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          34  62  41  68 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         37  63  44  68 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     30  56  34  61 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    33  62  38  67 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        32  67  42  73 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     36  61  41  67 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           32  66  41  72 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            35  66  40  70 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  33  64  39  69 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         33  67  43  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...King
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...King