058
FXUS62 KFFC 081041
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
641 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025



...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 628 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

    - Scattered showers in north Georgia will gradually diminish
      this morning before redeveloping in central Georgia this
      afternoon ahead of a cold front.

    - Above-normal temperatures today will be replaced with more
      seasonal values on Thursday in the wake of the cold front.

    - Dry, gradually warming conditions to continue through the
      long term.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 628 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Scattered light rain showers dot portions of north Georgia early
this morning ahead of a cold front currently analyzed across the
Tennessee Valley. Meanwhile, areas of fog, some locally dense, will
be possible in portions of east-central Georgia this morning. The
front will make progress into northwest Georgia by sunrise and
continue southeastward through the day. Ongoing showers are expected
to diminish in coverage through mid-morning amid continued loss of
instability. However, as SBCAPE recovers over 500 J/kg by early
afternoon ahead of the front for areas south of I-20, additional
scattered showers and a couple of isolated thunderstorms are
expected to redevelop and push southward through central Georgia
through this evening. QPF will remain limited overall and certainly
not enough to improve worsening drought conditions. Though a few
lucky spots could max out with totals near a half inch, most areas
will receive under a tenth to quarter of an inch through tonight.
Temperatures today will climb well above seasonal normals as cooler,
drier air will lag in the wake of the front. As such, highs ranging
from the low to mid 80s north to near 90 in far southern counties
can be expected.

Cooler, drier air will begin to arrive overnight as surface high
pressure transitions eastward across the Great Lakes toward upstate
New York. This will translate into the onset of a "wedge" surface pattern
locally overnight into Thursday, returning a fresh northeasterly
breeze. Thursday will bring far more October-like conditions as
highs will remain in the low to mid 70s for most as drier dewpoints
begin to filter in amid the northeasterly breeze.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 628 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

With the development of high amplitude mid-level troughing spanning
the majority of ECONUS throughout the day Friday -- a feature which
lingers through the entirety of the extended range -- north and
central Georgia look to remain in a regime of deep northwesterly
flow at the mid-levels for several days. With a continuous stream of
dry, continental air aloft, precipitation chances remain
negligible (<5%) throughout the weekend and well into next week.
Highs will warm by a degree or two each day through the long term,
initially in the low-to-mid 70s, surging into the low-to-mid 80s
by midweek next week. Morning lows will stagnate in the upper-40s
to 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Iso -SHRA continue diminishing in coverage this morning ahead of a
cold front and additional iso/sct -SHRA will be limited to MCN/CSG
18-22Z. Primarily VFR cigs are favored at ATL area sites this
morning with patchy intermittent MVFR possible through 14Z before
VFR conditions are expected to prevail thereafter. Areas of fog
and LIFR cigs at AHN/MCN should improve after 14-15Z. NW to NNW
winds today at 4-8 kts will shift NE after 02-04Z with speeds
increasing to 8-12 kts after 06Z and gusts over 20 kts possible.


//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium confidence on morning cigs.
High confidence on other elements.

RW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          83  60  71  51 /  10  10   0   0
Atlanta         85  63  73  53 /  20   0   0   0
Blairsville     78  54  68  44 /  10   0   0   0
Cartersville    83  61  74  53 /  10   0   0   0
Columbus        87  66  78  57 /  20  10  10   0
Gainesville     84  60  71  51 /  10  10   0   0
Macon           85  64  75  55 /  20  20  10   0
Rome            84  60  76  52 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  85  62  74  52 /  20   0   0   0
Vidalia         88  65  76  57 /  20  40  10  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...RW