789
FXUS62 KFFC 161854
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
154 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 148 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

    - Critical fire weather conditions expected for Monday
      afternoon due to low relative humidity and dry fuels.

- Above normal temperatures continue this week with a potential
  for daily record highs around mid week.

- Low rain chances for North GA around midweek with any
  meaningful rainfall holding off until at least Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 148 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

A cold front is currently situated across far North GA and will
continue to push through the state through the evening. Breezy winds
and gradually clearing skies are expected through the remainder of
the afternoon. SPC has updated the Fire Weather Outlook for today
that includes portions of far eastern GA including Athens. Localized
critical fire weather conditions will remain a possibility through
early evening in far east GA due to gusty winds + drying fuels. Much
drier air will begin to filter into the region behind the front late
this evening as surface high pressure builds across the TN Valley.
Heading into Monday our main weather concern will be critical fire
weather conditions as a result of dry fuels and low relative
humidity. A Fire Danger Statement is likely to be issued for all of
North and Central GA. For additional information regarding today`s
and Monday`s fire weather concerns please see the fire weather
forecast.

Tonight/Monday morning temperatures will dip down into the upper 30s
across North GA (mid 30s in the mountains) and 40s elsewhere. We may
be ever so slightly cooler on Monday with daytime highs climbing
into the mid 60s to low 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 148 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

Dry conditions and much warmer than normal temperatures will
continue across north and central GA during the middle of the
upcoming week. This pattern is being driven by a mid-level ridge
that will build across the Southeast U.S. from over the Gulf
through the end of the week. A few mid-level shortwaves and
associated moisture will ride along the top of the ridge and
would at most only bring a few showers to far north GA on
Wed/Thu. On Friday, a stout mid-level shortwave and associated
surface low will rapidly eject out of the Southwest U.S. up in to
the Midwest. This will push the ridge a little further east and
turn winds aloft out of the southwest, bringing in sufficient
moisture across the western half of the state to support
scattered showers or storms. The overall pattern looks like it
will remain fairly stagnant through the rest of the weekend, with
troughing over the Southern Plains and Southwest U.S, and ridging
over the Southeast U.S coast. This will support warm temperatures
and isolated to scattered showers and storms each day, primarily
across west and northwest GA.

High temperatures from mid-week into the weekend will be 12-18
degrees above normal, ranging from the mid 70s to low 80s across
the area, and we could see a few daily record highs either
threatened or broken. Overnight lows will be 14-20 degrees above
normal, ranging from the mid 50s to low 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1227 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

Perhaps a another hour or two of MVFR at CSG otherwise, VFR at all
sites. Clouds will continue to clear with SKC by 00z. Breezy west
winds 10-14kts with gusts up to 22kts will shift to the NW/NNW
following FROPA. Winds diminish after 02z.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

High confidence on all elements.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          43  67  39  71 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         44  67  45  74 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     34  60  38  66 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    39  66  40  74 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        46  73  45  79 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     43  67  41  70 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           43  71  39  77 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            41  68  41  77 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  42  69  39  75 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         45  72  41  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....Culver
AVIATION...07