647
FXUS62 KFFC 151745
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1245 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1233 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

 - Above average temperatures should continue through the coming
   work week.

 - Lower relative humidity and dry fuels will result in critical
   fire weather conditions Monday afternoon.

 - Soaking rainfall that would improve ongoing drought conditions
   is unlikely through at least next Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 333 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

High temps will continue to run on the warm side of normal through
the short term. Highs will be in the  mid 70s with overnight lows in
the 50s. It remains on the dry side out there with afternoon
relative humidities falling into the 30s for most of the CWA which
will help to cool things off quickly once the sun starts to set.

Southwest winds will start to bring some moisture back into the
area. This will help to prevent overnight lows from falling as far
as they did last week. Get out there and enjoy the nice weather!

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 333 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

Overall the long term period continues to look uneventful for the
most part with above normal temps and below normal precip. The
beginning of the long term starting on Sunday will showcase a weak
front pushing into north and central Georgia as the overall pattern
pushes more of a quasi zonal period into the forecast area. Rain
chances remain limited for Monday with the only real proof of a
front passing through being the lowered temps over the northern half
of the area to 40s for lows and upper 60s for highs. Through the
remainder of the week, ridging begins to build in more over the
eastern CONUS for the long wave pattern as a low pressure over the
western CONUS pushes in. Small impulses in the flow to our north
will lead to limited (<10-15%) chances for rainfall over far north
Georgia if enough energy is able to sneak down. Confidence is low on
this as the impulses remain closer to the Ohio valley area with
strong ridging over our area.

Towards the end of the forecast period is when we could see a
semblance of change. There are indications that as the low pressure
system over the southwest pushes eastward there will be  ridge
breakdown over the eastern CONUS into the later half of the week
into the weekend. Timing is a bit scattered from Friday through
Sunday with rain chances in the 40-50% range for the most part. QPF
values are closer to 2 " in the northwest over 2 days which is in
line with the CPC`s outlined risk for a slight chance (20-40%) for
heavy precipitation for next weekend. Confidence is increasing that
precip will affect the area but timing does remain uncertain as it
will all depend on how the ridge is able to break down.

Highs will be 10-15 degrees above normal in the mid to upper 70s
across the area and low will be in the 50s for the most part.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through 00z at all sites. Fair wx cu
(3-5kft) and gusty west winds (6-12kts gusts up to 20kts) will
also persist until 00z. A mostly dry FROPA will occur Sunday AM
bringing gusty WNW winds and low cigs 3-5kft between 10-15z. Cigs
may briefly dip to MVFR between 11-14z. Otherwise, clearing
conditions after 18z.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium confidence on occurrence of MVFR on Sunday AM.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          74  57  75  43 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         74  57  74  45 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     68  53  65  34 /   0  20  10   0
Cartersville    75  56  74  40 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        77  52  78  47 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     73  58  73  43 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           78  53  78  45 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            78  58  77  41 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  75  55  75  43 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         78  53  78  46 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...07