123
FXUS62 KFFC 110955
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
555 AM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected
   each afternoon through Saturday. A few strong storms possible
   Friday across North GA.

 - Heat indices rising into the upper 90s to low 100s are
   forecast today through the weekend.

 - Growing confidence in a wetter pattern returning to North and
   Central Georgia early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Patchy fog and some low clouds have developed this morning per GOES
Nighttime Microphysics Imagery. Expect this trend to continue
through the morning particularly in areas that received any rainfall
yesterday afternoon. Any fog should clear at or shortly after
sunrise.

Weak ridging at the midlevels remains in place across the Southern
U.S. with high pressure at the surface. Thus both today (Thursday)
and Friday`s forecast will favor continued warm and muggy conditions
with  isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly
during the afternoon. The only difference for Friday being slightly
higher rain chances across far North GA due to an approaching cold
front. While most of the upper level support looks to remain to our
north with this system, the front interacting with the
increasingly warm and muggy boundary layer may result in more
moderate instability, mainly over parts of North GA. Thus, a few
strong thunderstorms capable of producing gusty winds are possible
Friday afternoon. As this system approaches, ridging also becomes
more amplified and temperatures will likely be the warmest we`ve
seen so far across some locations. Forecast highs today will climb
into the upper 80s at the higher elevations of North GA to low-
mid 90s elsewhere. Heat indices in the upper 90s to low 100s are
likely this afternoon for most places outside of the North GA
mountains. Temperatures will be a a tick warmer on Friday with
similar heat indices. Current forecast values remain just shy of
Heat Advisory criteria but will need to be closely monitored in
future forecasts.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 300 AM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

The extended periods start off with typical summertime diurnally
driven showers and thunderstorms Saturday. A mid-level ridge over
the region will keep isolated precip chances, but sufficient
moisture (PWAT values of 1.5" or more) and heating will still allow
convection to fire. While no widespread severe weather is
anticipated at this time, but we could see a strong storm or two
each day, capable of producing frequent lightning, heavy rainfall,
and gusty winds. precip chances will begin to increase Sun as a
weakening front pushes into the Southeast and stalls across central
GA. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 90s each day, with
heat index values in the 95-100 range across North GA, and 100-110
over Central GA.

On Sunday, model guidance is in good agreement on the ridge
breaking down as a potent shortwave dives across the Midwest and
sends a front into the Southeast. This will be the start of a very
wet period lasting through the middle next week, as longwave
troughing establishes over most of the eastern US and flow over
Georgia turns out of west to southwest. Moisture surging in off
the Gulf will bring PWAT values up into the 1.5" to 2.25" range by
Monday and continuing through Wednesday. This will support
numerous to widespread showers and storms with increased flooding
concerns through day 7. If stronger forcing comes into play, which
some guidance is showing with approaching fronts/shortwaves, that
would only increase the flash flood threat. Severe weather may
also become a threat, depending on the timing and location of any
stronger forcing moving across the region. While it will remain
quite humid, the amount of cloud cover and increased rain chances
will knock temperatures down into the 80s Tue and Wed.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 554 AM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at all sites through the period. Light
SW wind will increase to 4-6kts after 15z. Sct Cu 3-6kft psbl thru
the period. Iso shra/tsra psbl after 16z but chances and confidence
is too low to mention in the TAF at this time.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

High confidence on all elements.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          93  73  95  74 /  10   0  10  10
Atlanta         92  75  93  74 /  10   0  10  10
Blairsville     86  68  87  66 /  20   0  20  10
Cartersville    92  73  92  72 /  10   0  20  10
Columbus        95  75  96  75 /  10  10  10  10
Gainesville     90  73  91  72 /  10   0  10  10
Macon           94  74  95  75 /  10   0  10  10
Rome            91  73  91  72 /  10   0  20  10
Peachtree City  93  73  93  73 /  10   0  10  10
Vidalia         95  76  96  77 /  20  10  20  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...07