229
FXUS62 KFFC 131117
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
617 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025



...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 615 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

 - Steady warming through the end of the week. Mild temperatures,
   highs 8 to 14 degrees above average, should prevail between
   Saturday and next Wednesday.

 - Mostly dry conditions will persist through the weekend, with an
   approaching system potentially bringing showers and
   thunderstorms by early next week. Uncertainty on timing and
   amounts remain high.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 401 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

Surface high pressure continues to dominate through today into
tomorrow. 500 mb heights show quick hitting shortwave trough moving
out of the Northeast putting surface high right over us here in the
southeast. Small upper level ridge within northwest flow to our
north will only serve to reinforce the surface high into Friday.
Temperatures will continue to warm with highs today in the upper 60s
to low 70s both today and tomorrow (tomorrow looks to be a few
degrees warmer than today for most locations). Dry air and clear
skies will allow lows to fall into the upper 30s to low 40s tonight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 401 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

At the start of the period surface high pressure will still be in
place and a midlevel ridge building across the Plains. Northwest
flow aloft will act to usher a few disturbances and weak surface
fronts through the region late weekend and next week. The first of
which will pass to our north on Sunday. Aside from a low potential
(< 15%) for rain showers across the northeast GA mountains early
Sunday morning most places will remain dry through Monday. The next
series of fronts will pass through the region between Tuesday and
Friday. Ensemble inconsistencies as far as exact timing of any
rainfall and the extent of rainfall remain. Thus, continue to
highlight low rain chances (15-30%) between Tuesday through Thursday
with the highest chances currently relegated across North GA.

With no notable change in the airmass that will be in place, warm
above normal temperatures are currently expected through the long
term period. Daytime highs are forecast to be in the 70s -- mid to
upper 60s in the mountains and mild overnight lows in the 40s and
50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

VFR through the TAF period. A few minor vsby impacts from BR are
present around metro, but these should be very temporary for any
sites that are impacted and lift by 13Z. Otherwise, mostly SKC
with some periods where a few cirrus may be present. Winds will be
from WNW to NW across all sites, 5-10 kts, going light to calm
overnight.


//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
High all elements.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          69  41  70  44 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         68  45  71  48 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     62  38  68  43 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    68  38  72  43 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        73  43  75  42 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     68  42  70  46 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           72  41  73  39 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            72  41  75  46 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  70  41  73  41 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         74  43  74  41 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Lusk
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...Lusk