497
FXUS62 KFFC 040607
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
107 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025



...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1248 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

    - Dry, sunnier conditions today will come to a quick end on
      Thursday as clouds rapidly return, followed by increasing
      rainfall.

    - Wintry precipitation potential Thursday night/Friday
      morning remains very low.

    - Waves of rain through the weekend will bring rainfall
      totals of 1-3" with locally higher amounts, particularly
      for areas south of I-20.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 127 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025

The dry conditions accompanied by a return to sunshine for many
of us today will be very brief and come to a quick end tomorrow.
Still, Thursday morning lows will dip near or below freezing for
the bulk of the area before clouds thicken up too much. A
shortwave will then quickly approach the region amid southwest
flow aloft on Thursday, with isentropic lift gradually increasing
through the afternoon. Clouds will be quick to increase through
the morning with the initial chance for light rain showers
beginning increase from midday into the afternoon. The highest
chance for showers will be across Middle Georgia through Thursday
evening. Widespread clouds will help to hold down high
temperatures some 8-12 degrees below normal, ranging from the
upper 40s to mid 50s.

Meanwhile, surface high pressure will rapidly slide across the Ohio
Valley tomorrow and into the Northeast by Friday morning, setting up
a CAD wedge and its associated cool, northeasterly surface flow.
Widespread moderate to occasionally heavier rainfall will overspread
the area in earnest overnight Thursday night into early Friday
morning as the surface low pushes eastward along the Gulf Coast.
While this setup (cold CAD wedge in place, overspreading moisture)
can favor wintry precipitation, this risk continues to appear more
appreciable for areas farther north and east of our area (into the
Carolinas), as the degree of cold air in place appears insufficient
for any significant concerns through Thursday night into Friday
morning. As such, cold rain continues to the expectation at this
juncture, even in the mountains. Even so, the low-end potential for
any brief, light freezing rain in the highest elevations of the
northeast Georgia mountains will continue to be monitored as the
system approaches.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday morning through next Tuesday)
Issued at 127 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025

The long term picks up with a stalled front across the southeast
that will be the source of a few days of rain. Given the cold air
behind it, the threat for thunderstorms remain near zero. Highs will
be in the mid 40s and lows in the upper 30s and rainfall totals will
range from half an inch across north Georgia to around two inches
south of I-20. We`re still pretty dry out there and all this rain
will continue to help ease the drought conditions across Georgia. As
a result we aren`t too concerned about the risk of widespread
flooding. That being said, urban areas like Macon and Columbus
should keep an eye on the forecast as some of the more flashy areas
around the city.

By Sunday, a strong cold front will push through the southeast and
we`ll see temperatures drop back towards freezing during the
overnight hours as dry air is filtered back into the area. As we get
into a more settled period next week, we`re expecting highs in the
upper 40s and mid 50s with overnight lows in the upper 20s and lower
30s. There is some indication that temps will start to rebound
towards the middle of next week but models are kind of all over the
place when it comes to the possibility of warm air advection into
the region. So, stay tuned.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1248 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025
Mostly high clouds across the area this morning. Will see
increased mid to low clouds later this afternoon with precip
moving in also. The CSG and MCN areas will see precip move in
shortly after daybreak but the ATL/AHN area TAF sites wont see
any until after 00z Fri. Ceilings will stay mainly in the MVFR
range until precip moves in then ceilings go down into the MVFR
to IFR range. Once the rain begins expecting it to continue
through the TAF period. Winds will start out of the NW then turn
to the NE as the precip moves in. Wind speeds will stay in the
2-8kt range through the period.


//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.


01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          40  45  39  52 /  90  90  40  40
Atlanta         41  48  42  52 / 100  90  40  50
Blairsville     34  44  36  50 /  90  70  30  30
Cartersville    37  48  39  52 / 100  70  30  30
Columbus        42  53  45  55 /  90  90  70  70
Gainesville     40  44  40  52 /  90  90  30  40
Macon           42  52  44  53 /  90 100  70  70
Rome            40  51  41  55 / 100  60  20  30
Peachtree City  39  49  41  52 / 100  90  50  50
Vidalia         45  56  48  55 /  80 100  80  80

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...01