924
FXUS62 KFFC 310507
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
107 AM EDT Sat Oct 31 2026

...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

  - Near-seasonal high temperatures through the next 7 days, with
    warmer than normal overnight lows.

  - Isolated to scattered light rain showers return to parts of
    the area early Sunday through Sunday night.

  - Increasing potential for more widespread showers and storms
    from mid to late next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 228 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Dry conditions will continue through the majority of the short-term
forecast, with a shifting pattern taking shape late Saturday into
Sunday. At the mid levels, a ridge across our region will dampen as
a shortwave trough ejects into the ArkLaTex region this evening. As
it does, an increase in mid to upper level clouds will filter into
the region overnight and remain in place through Saturday. At the
surface, high pressure centered over the Mid-Atlantic will drive a
wedge front through the area on Saturday, reinforcing northeast
winds with afternoon gusts up to 20-25 mph. This will set up the
possibility of a few isentropically forced showers around the area
Saturday afternoon, but precipitation total will be very limited
through Saturday night due to the drier low level air associated
with the wedge. This outcome aligns with guidance trending lower on
QPF totals, keeping amounts under a quarter of an inch for the
weekend.

The most likely outcome is a dry evening for trick-or-treat and
other festivities Saturday evening. Temperatures will be warm today,
about 5-10 degrees above normal, with highs in the upper 70s to low
80s and lows in the upper 50s to low 60s across our area. With the
increased cloud cover on Saturday, high temperatures will drop a few
degrees, but conditions will remain above normal through the short
term.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 228 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Like the previous AFD mentioned, our forecast continues to feature
reduced rain chances on Sunday, with the most likely scenario being
showers confined to the western half or so of the forecast area.
Why? The global ensembles depict strong surface high pressure
anchored across the Eastern Seaboard through the day, with a passing
shortwave trough aloft. A "wedge" will result from this setup, with
moisture advection atop supporting the potential for the
aforementioned showers (or drizzle, per some forecast soundings) on
Sunday, and the potential shifting across the rest of the state
Sunday night into Monday morning. The chances for rain are
essentially nil on Monday and Tuesday as persistent regional high
pressure reinforces the wedge across north and central Georgia.

The synoptic scale pattern will change at midweek. Longwave
troughing will set up aloft over the Eastern CONUS Wednesday and
Thursday, but there are differences among the global ensembles
regarding the strength of the troughing, plus jet streak
placement/where wind maxima set up aloft (as the previous AFD
discussed). This will impact the footprint of resulting surface low
pressure and thus where rainfall is maximized. At this time, there
is general consensus among the global ensembles that total rainfall
will be maximized roughly along and north of the I-85 corridor, with
totals ranging from 1 to 3 inches. That said, this could change as
the aforementioned uncertain variables become better handled by the
global and eventually regional/convective-allowing models. These
variables will also impact parameters (such as deep-layer shear)
that govern the potential for strong to severe storms. For now, it
is safe to say that Wednesday and Thursday could be rainy and cloudy
for some of north and central Georgia.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 105 AM EDT Sat Oct 31 2026

VFR at all sites thru the period. VRB wind picks up from the E at
6-12kts by 10z with gusts up to 24kts by 15z continuing
periodically thru at least 00z. Cigs 10-20kft, with Sct Cu 5-7kft
by or shortly after 00z.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

High confidence on all elements.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          54  67  52  71 /   0  10  20   0
Atlanta         58  66  56  71 /  10  30  30   0
Blairsville     50  61  47  65 /  10  10  10  10
Cartersville    55  66  53  72 /  20  20  20   0
Columbus        60  72  57  77 /  20  30  30  10
Gainesville     56  63  54  68 /  10  10  10  10
Macon           57  72  55  76 /  10  30  40  10
Rome            54  65  51  72 /  20  30  20   0
Peachtree City  55  67  52  73 /  10  30  30   0
Vidalia         60  76  59  78 /  10  10  40  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...82
LONG TERM....Martin
AVIATION...07