221
FXUS62 KFFC 021906
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
206 PM EST Mon Nov 2 2026


...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage on
  Wednesday, but severe weather and flooding are not anticipated.

- Above-normal temperatures are expected through the end of the
  week.

- Slightly cooler temperatures are expected as we go into next
  weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 158 PM EST Mon Nov 2 2026

Largely dry conditions will persist through Tuesday, though things
will begin to change for the wetter Tuesday night. Through tomorrow,
a CAD wedge will remain fairly dominant, though the source surface
high will slide eastward off the Atlantic coastline of the
Northeast. Meanwhile, the flow aloft will transition into southwest
flow through the day ahead of a longwave trough swinging from the
Plains into the Mississippi Valley by Tuesday evening. The initial
effect will be a continued increase in cloud cover through Tuesday
as moisture gradually increases ahead of this system. Easterly winds
will also remain breezy through the day and into Tuesday night
(gusts up to 20-30 mph, particularly across north/northwest Georgia)
given the increasing gradient ahead of the incoming storm system.

As mentioned above, conditions will remain dry for the most part
until late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning as scattered
showers begin to encroach into west and northwest Georgia. The bulk
of the rainfall will hold off until Wednesday, however, as the
surface front pushes toward the state.

Temperatures will remain above normal. Overnight lows will be
some 10-15 degrees above normal amid increased clouds and moisture
while Tuesday`s highs will notch a bit higher than today, into
the mid 70s to low 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday morning through next Sunday)
Issued at 158 PM EST Mon Nov 2 2026

The extended period begins Wed morning as the developing frontal
boundary to our west begins pushing precip into NW GA. By Wed
morning the frontal boundary is expected to be just to our west
across AL...but precipitation ahead of it will begin to push into
NW GA just before daybreak Wed. As this front pushes into the
region it has to break down the High pressure ridge/wedge that is
already in place across the area. This ridge does a great job of
slowing the Southeasterly progression of the frontal boundary
which keeps precipitation chances elevated from 12z Wed to 12z Thu
across the state. Precipitable water values begin to increase Tue
night with values across West GA in the 1" to 1.8" range by 12z
Wed. These elevated PW values slowly traverse the area from W to E
through Thur morning keeping precipitation chances high. Total
QPF values are in the 1" to 2" range across a good portion of
North and Central GA through Thu morning. Would not be surprised
to see some isolated higher amounts closer to 2.5" by Thu morning
especially across North GA. WPC has also put all of North GA and
portions of Central GA under a day 3 ERO (Excessive Rain Outlook)
for this incoming system.

The better instability values and dynamics with this system stay
well north of the state along the front as it moves east through the
Mid-Atlantic states. Widespread severe weather is not expected. We
will see some isolated thunderstorms but for now not expecting much
in the way of severe weather.

This front moves down into SE/S GA by Thu evening with another
weaker/drier cold front expected to push into NW GA Fri evening and
clearing things out for Sat. Should see mostly clear and slightly
cooler conditions for the weekend .

Temperatures will be mainly in the 70s to lower 80s through Friday
with highs cooling into the 60s and 70s Sat/Sun. Low temps expected
in the 50s and 60s through Fri with lows in the 40s and 50s Sat/Sun.
May even see some upper 30s across the NE GA mountains Sun night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 PM EST Mon Nov 2 2026

A few lingering patches of MVFR cigs will continue to improve to
VFR by 19-20Z with SCT/BKN 4-7 kft clouds through the evening.
MVFR cigs are expected again Tuesday morning, especially after
10-12Z with improvement back toward BKN VFR after 18Z. Winds will
remain E at 8-12 kts with gusts to around 20 kts each afternoon.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High confidence.

RW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          55  76  61  75 /   0   0  20  80
Atlanta         60  75  64  74 /   0   0  40  90
Blairsville     51  70  56  66 /   0   0  50  90
Cartersville    57  76  63  73 /   0  10  50  90
Columbus        62  80  66  79 /   0  10  30  90
Gainesville     57  73  62  70 /   0  10  50  90
Macon           59  80  63  80 /   0  10  10  70
Rome            56  76  62  73 /   0   0  60 100
Peachtree City  58  76  63  75 /   0   0  40  90
Vidalia         62  83  65  84 /   0  10   0  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...RW