494
FXUS62 KFFC 290700
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
200 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025



...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1244 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

 - Dry conditions will persist through Saturday, with hazardous
   fire weather conditions across parts of north and central
   Georgia in the afternoons and early evenings.

 - Scattered to widespread rain is expected Sunday through
   Tuesday, with the possibility (30-40% chance) of a light wintry
   mix in the mountains Saturday night into early Sunday morning.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 127 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025

Dry, cool conditions will persist through tomorrow (Saturday). A
Fire Danger Statement is in effect this afternoon and early
evening across parts of central and eastern Georgia due to low
relative humidity and increasingly dry fuels. Tomorrow will bring
increased mid-/upper-level cloud cover and a transition to
easterly/southeasterly surface winds, but not expecting enough
airmass modification to completely rule out the need for another
Fire Danger Statement across parts of the area.

A mid-/upper-level shortwave trough will traverse the
Ohio/Tennessee River Valley on Saturday night, while at the
surface, high pressure across the Eastern Seaboard shifts eastward
in response. Model guidance depicts a cold air damming wedge
remaining in place across at least the eastern half or so of the
County Warning Area (CWA) overnight, which will maintain a near-
surface layer of cold air (lower 30s to mid-30s) across parts of
north and eastern Georgia. Moisture ahead of the aforementioned
trough (and its attendant low pressure system and fronts) will
support scattered showers overnight. For the northeast Georgia
mountains -- where overnight temperatures are forecast to be at
freezing or a couple degrees below -- precip may begin as freezing
rain. At this time, expecting that any accumulations would be
light and only minimally impactful (if at all), and mainly
relegated to elevations of 2500 feet or higher.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 127 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025

The long term outlook, starting on Sunday, can be summed up as
modestly wet. Several modest shortwaves traversing the southeast
over the next week will bring several rounds of rain showers
Sunday, Tuesday, and Thursday into Friday. Mid and upper level
southwest flow between each system will continue to pump moisture
into the area, holding PWATs over 1". This may not sound all that
impressive, and it`s not in the grand scheme of things, however
this will be more than adequate to maintain wet conditions for
much of the period. Model guidance remains consistent in QPF
through weeks end with 1-2 inches likely across the region Monday
through Wednesday. This seems reasonable given the PWATs, decent
forcing, and cool temperatures. Wet conditions will be greatly
appreciated in dealing with continued drought across central
Georgia.

Speaking of temperatures, Highs will remain moderated during
times of precip and cloud cover. North Georgia can expect highs
mostly in the 40s and 50s and central Georgia could see highs
reaching into the upper 60s to even low 70s. Lows will remain
cool, dropping to the 30s and 40s for most, though post-frontal
conditions on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning may see temps
fall into the upper 20s and low 30s for the northern 2/3rds of
the CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1244 AM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

Mostly clear skies with no precipitation or restrictions to VSBYs
today. Winds are mostly out of the NW this morning but they will
turn to the East by sunrise then to the SE this afternoon. Wind
speeds are light this morning but will see speeds increase into
the 8-12kt range with gust to 20kt this afternoon. Wind speeds
will diminish to 10kt or less by sunset. Will see increased clouds
after 06z Sun with MVFR ceilings moving into the TAF sites after
08z Sun. Precip starts to push into NW GA early Sun morning and
may see some SHRA at the ATL area TAF sites just before sunrise
Sun.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          35  50  35  49 /  10  40  20  20
Atlanta         39  53  35  52 /  10  50  20  20
Blairsville     30  47  25  48 /  40  70  10  20
Cartersville    38  51  28  52 /  20  70  10  20
Columbus        43  66  42  61 /  10  30  20  20
Gainesville     35  49  35  48 /  20  60  20  20
Macon           40  67  43  59 /  10  20  20  20
Rome            41  55  33  54 /  30  70  10  20
Peachtree City  38  57  33  54 /  10  50  20  20
Vidalia         41  72  49  64 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Martin
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...01