906
FXUS62 KFFC 271845
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
245 PM EDT Wed May 27 2026


...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

  - Scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected today
    and Thursday, though coverage will be a bit lower than
    recent days.

  - An unsettled pattern will keep rain chances elevated through the
    beginning of next week.

  - Locally heavy rainfall will remain possible alongside the risk
    for a few strong thunderstorms capable of gusty winds.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 242 PM EDT Wed May 27 2026

Cloud cover remains scattered to broken across the area. Northwest
GA has seen the greatest clearing as convective mixing develops a
more defined CU fields. The I85 corridor has seen upper level stratus
protect us from convection through much of the morning, however
satellite imagery shows significantly increase low level CU
development. This likely represents the first corridor we will see
convection, further backed by sporadic radar returns across north
Georgia. We will likely continue to see these develop through the
day. While the severe threat is also lower than yesterday, a few
strong storms may still be possible this afternoon and evening.
Gusty winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall with
rain rates over 2"+ are all possible.

Conditions continue to be summerlike, however PoPs will be lower
than previous days as the Bermuda high is shoved south via an upper
level trough descending the omega block over the central CONUS.
Weakened southwest flow will reduce thunderstorms coverage partly
this afternoon but mostly Thursday. That said, we will still see
PoPs of 20-40 percent across even the lowest areas tomorrow
afternoon. Conditions rebound back to a wet pattern as we enter the
end of the short-term and beginning of the long-term outlooks.
Ridging to the west developing on the upstream side of the block
will likely bring a return of weak low level southwest flow to the
area, while north flow brings a frontal feature down across the
area. Temps will remain fairly consistent to past days, with a
slight cool down as we enter the weekend. Highs on Friday may only
reach the low 80s or even upper 70s across the metro.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday morning through next Tuesday)
Issued at 242 PM EDT Wed May 27 2026

Continued diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms expected to
continue into the extended periods. South to Southwesterly flow is
still flowing across the area as a Bermuda has stayed steadfast off
the SE Atlantic coast. The models are stating to indicate that this
ridge will finally move east as we get into the weekend allowing the
overall upper level flow to turn more West to Northwesterly through
Monday. This turn in the overall flow doesn`t change much for the
actual forecast as waves Begin moving across the region from the
central plains versus the Gulf. The models keep us in a very Wet
pattern through the beginning of next week.


Showers and thunderstorms can be expected over a large percentage of
the CWA every day with PoPs each afternoon in the 40% to 80% range.
With this trend counting, it will take less rain to cause flash
flooding concerns. Training thunderstorms during the afternoon will
continue to pose the biggest threat with rain rates ranging from 2-
3" per hour.

There is a bit of good news possibly as both the GFE and ECMWF are
showing a high pressure ridge build south out of the Great Lake
states Tue afternoon bringing in a much drier airmass across the
state for next Wed. This is getting into Day 8 so I do not have a
lot of confidence in this yet but it is encouraging that more than
one model is showing this scenario.

Temps stay fairly steady with highs in the upper 70s to Middle 80s
and lows in the 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 117 PM EDT Wed May 27 2026

Vrb cigs this aftn continue to clear to VFR conditions outside
precip. SCT SHRA now will develop through aftn with sct TSRA
through 00z. Some remnant tsra/shra psbl between 00z and 02z near
metro sites, but confidence too low for taf inclusion. Low cigs
fill early morning with LIFR move out of south and AL. Any low
cigs for metro and CSG sites will be tempo, returning to vfr cigs
by Thur late morning. Sct to Iso PoPs return Thur aftn. Winds
mostly light at less than 7kts and generally turn to W to NW thru
period, though may be vrb near TSRA and overnight.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence all elements.

SM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          66  86  65  79 /  10  40  50  60
Atlanta         68  85  68  79 /  20  40  30  80
Blairsville     62  81  61  76 /  20  30  10  50
Cartersville    66  85  66  80 /  30  40  30  70
Columbus        67  86  67  83 /  30  50  30  80
Gainesville     67  84  66  77 /  20  30  30  60
Macon           67  84  66  81 /  30  40  40  80
Rome            66  84  65  80 /  20  50  30  70
Peachtree City  66  85  66  80 /  20  40  30  80
Vidalia         69  85  68  82 /  40  60  40  80

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...SM