312
FXUS62 KFFC 141721
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1221 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025


...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1213 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

 - Above average temperatures are favored through the weekend and
   into next week.

 - Soaking rainfall that would improve ongoing drought conditions
   is unlikely through at least next Thursday.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 410 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

High temps will continue to run on the warm side of normal through
the short term thanks to high pressure and relatively weak zonal
flow. Highs will be in the low to mid 70s with overnight lows in
the 40s. It remains on the dry side out there with afternoon
relative humidities falling into the 20s and 30s for most of the
CWA which will help to cool things off quickly once the sun starts
to set.

Southwest winds will start to bring some moisture back into the
area. Nothing that would suggest the possibility of some needed
rain, but enough to ease the need for chapstick.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 410 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

Dry and warm conditions will continue through the rest of the
weekend and into early next week across most of north and central
GA as ridging holds over the region. The only rain chances (<15%)
through Monday will be over the north GA mountains on Sunday
morning as a weak front pushes through the area, associated with
a distant low over the Northeast US. Confidence in the timing and
strength of smaller synoptic features starts to decrease from
this point on, but ensembles are in general agreement that the
longwave pattern over the CONUS will start to amplify and shift
from the middle to end of next week. This will be driven by a
potent mid-level trough dropping into the Southwest US, pushing
the mid-level ridge axis over the Southeast US. For the Tue/Wed
time period, guidance continues to show potential for a few
shortwaves and associated weak fronts to ride along the top of
the mid-level ridge, which could bring isolated rain showers to
north GA. The best chances for more meaningful rainfall look to be
sometime between Thursday and Saturday, as the mid-level ridge
breaks down and the stout mid-level trough slides across the
Southern Plains into the Southeast US. While this setup would
lead to decent rainfall chances across the area, confidence in
the pattern developing this way is still low at this time.

With mid-level ridging over the region through at least the
middle of next week, temperatures will remain well above normal
for this time of year. Highs will be in the 70s each day across
most of the area, with 60s in the north GA mountains. Overnight
lows will generally only fall to the 50s, with mid to upper 40s
in the north GA mountains.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

Mostly clear skies will prevail through the TAF period. Light and
vrb winds will trend toward SW through the afternoon at speeds of
less than 5 kts. SW wind will persist on Saturday with speeds
increasing to 5-10 kts after 15Z.


//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High confidence.

RW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          69  45  74  56 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         71  48  74  57 /   0   0   0  10
Blairsville     67  42  68  52 /   0   0   0  10
Cartersville    72  44  75  55 /   0   0   0  10
Columbus        75  44  77  51 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     69  47  72  57 /   0   0   0  10
Macon           72  41  77  51 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            75  44  77  57 /   0   0   0  10
Peachtree City  72  43  75  53 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         74  44  78  51 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....Culver
AVIATION...RW