


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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080 FXUS62 KFFC 011924 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 324 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025 ...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 322 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025 Key Messages: - Isolated showers possible across far north Georgia today and tomorrow. Sunshine for most elsewhere, outside some persistent higher cloud cover near the metro this afternoon. - Temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s overnight, upper 70s to 80s today and tomorrow across north and central Georgia. Forecast: Large somewhat cutoff upper level low continues to meander over the eastern CONUS today and tomorrow which will help keep a relatively cool and dry airmass in place over much of north and central Georgia. Broad surface high over the Appalachians in the northeast and a surface low spinning off the eastern Florida coastline make for a pretty classic wedge/CAD environment, and we have broad easterly winds across the CWA as the cooler, drier air continues to spill into the area from the northeast. Speaking off those winds, the pressure gradient combined with a bit of mixing has made things a bit breezy this morning into the afternoon, with winds regularly 10-15 mph in many places. These should tail off quickly into the evening. Temperatures are on track for the most part with 70s and 80s across the CWA. Metro is a touch cooler than expected thanks to some persistent cloud cover that has lingered from some overnight just on the northwest side of the metro. Oh no, it`s in the upper 70s, how tragic. Only convection today will be across far north Georgia. A little bit of moisture is trapped between the wedge and separate airmass to the north along an axis from AL through north GA into TN. Scattered thunderstorms have already started in Alabama and TN where moisture is better. Across north GA, any convection will likely be due to terrain uplift, or from storms which manage to slowly drift in from the northwest. Overall only expecting some very isolated chances, peaking around this evening. Tonight will see clear skies, calmer winds, and some decent radiational cooling. Expecting lows near 60 across most all of north and central Georgia. The exception will be the mountains of NE GA, where the valleys will likely dip well into the 50s with drainage effects. Tomorrow looks like more of the same as there is little change in the upper level pattern. Highs will be a touch warmer but still in the lower to mid 80s. Best rain chances will again be across far north Georgia during the afternoon. Clearing again tomorrow night, with lows near 60 again, and 50s in the valleys of the mountains. Lusk && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday morning through next Sunday) Issued at 322 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025 Key Messages: - Scattered showers and storms Wed/Thu in north GA, with mostly dry conditions to follow through the weekend. - Around normal temperatures continue through the weekend. On Wednesday, a weakening mid-level shortwave will drop from the Midwest into the Tennessee Valley, along the backside of a deep trough covering much of the Eastern US. As the wave approaches the area, low level flow will turn out of the south, bringing in a slightly warmer and more humid airmass, with PWAT values climbing up to 1.5-1.75". This moisture combined with large scale forcing from the wave will lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms across north GA through Thursday. It is worth noting that the latest trends in model guidance have been much less impressive with the wave/moisture than in recent days, so it would not be surprising if rain chances continue to trend lower. One thing that has remained consistent is that a cold front associated with a strong low pressure system over the Great Lakes looks to push through the region late Thursday into Thursday night. This will bring a dry airmass back into the region for the end of the week and throughout the weekend, with little to no rainfall chances. The airmass will not be as anomalously cool as we have seen recently, so temperatures will be right around to just above normal from Friday through the weekend. Culver && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 137 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025 VFR through TAF period. A few higher clouds remain in and around metro TAF sites. Cu field development should remain mostly N to NW of airfields, though can`t rule out few by the late afternoon. Any rain/storms expected to stay well north of all TAF sites. Winds will be E to ENE through period. Wind will be 7-12 kts this afternoon, going to 4-7 kts tonight into tomorrow. //ATL Confidence...18Z Update... High all elements. Lusk && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 58 81 59 83 / 0 0 0 10 Atlanta 62 83 63 85 / 0 10 10 20 Blairsville 56 76 56 74 / 10 10 20 40 Cartersville 61 84 62 84 / 0 10 20 30 Columbus 63 86 64 88 / 0 10 0 10 Gainesville 59 81 60 81 / 0 10 10 20 Macon 61 84 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 61 83 62 83 / 10 10 30 40 Peachtree City 59 83 60 85 / 0 10 0 20 Vidalia 61 86 62 88 / 0 10 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Lusk LONG TERM....Culver AVIATION...Lusk